Challenger OlbiaChallenger 175Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Kaśnikowski vs Cretu 2:0: result and our tips

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Maks KaśnikowskiATP #238Elo 1689hard 1660
2:0final6:2 6:1
Cezar CretuATP #276Elo 1697hard 1528

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Lost61%

Where the number comes from: market alone 64% → with the players' profiles 61%

Kasnikowski: 9 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Other tips

  • Tie-break in Match: NoWon72%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 67% → with the players' profiles 72%

    No tie-break in recent matches: Kasnikowski 14 of 20, Cretu 18 of 20 (tour average 68%)

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won65%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Cretu: 8 matches in a row without a deciding set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Maks Kaśnikowski72%
Cezar Cretu28%

Elo: M. Kaśnikowski 68% · C. Cretu 32%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Kaśnikowski49%
2:1 M. Kaśnikowski22%
2:1 C. Cretu13%
2:0 C. Cretu16%

First set

Maks Kaśnikowski66%
Cezar Cretu34%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%71%
19.561%39%62%
20.554%46%54%
21.548%52%49%
22.541%59%42%
23.537%63%37%
24.534%66%35%

Sample: 4,408 matches

Games handicap

Maks Kaśnikowski −3.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Maks KaśnikowskiCezar Cretu
1Aces0
0Double faults4
80%First serves in67%
82%First-serve points won50%
71%Second-serve points won35%
5/8Break points converted0/0
7/7Service games held3/8
80%Service points won45%
55%Return points won20%
61Total points won34

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. KaśnikowskiTourC. Cretu
Service points won64%62%59%
Return points won39%38%43%
Service games held81%76%70%
Breaks of serve25%24%35%
Aces per service game0.370.21
Double faults per game0.130.20
Sets with a tie-break14%8%
Tie-breaks won10/236/8
Wins in straight sets71%85%
Matches in the sample6647

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Maks Kaśnikowski

Cezar Cretu

Elo over the last year

Maks KaśnikowskiCezar Cretu

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. KaśnikowskiC. Cretu
Hard court25–1760%0–20%
Clay13–1154%27–1860%

Head to head

They have not met yet.