Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Dalla Valle vs Bondioli 2:1: result and our tips

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Enrico Dalla ValleATP #319Elo 1743clay 1737
2:1final6:1 5:7 7:6(5)
Federico BondioliATP #333Elo 1721clay 1733

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: Dalla ValleWon63%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Dalla Valle won the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Bondioli lost the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 22.5Lost56%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Dalla Valle: 5 matches in a row under 22.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Lost36%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Dalla Valle: 5 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Enrico Dalla Valle67%
Federico Bondioli33%

Elo: E. Dalla Valle 51% · F. Bondioli 49%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Dalla Valle44%
2:1 E. Dalla Valle23%
2:1 F. Bondioli15%
2:0 F. Bondioli18%

First set

Enrico Dalla Valle63%
Federico Bondioli37%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%68%
19.564%36%59%
20.557%43%52%
21.552%48%47%
22.545%55%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.538%63%34%

Sample: 4,335 matches

Games handicap

Enrico Dalla Valle −3.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 32 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Enrico Dalla ValleFederico Bondioli
6Aces3
3Double faults6
61%First serves in63%
70%First-serve points won56%
40%Second-serve points won40%
8/13Break points converted6/17
9/15Service games held8/16
58%Service points won50%
50%Return points won42%
118Total points won100

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. Dalla ValleTourF. Bondioli
Service points won65%62%60%
Return points won39%38%39%
Service games held83%76%74%
Breaks of serve27%24%26%
Aces per service game0.410.31
Double faults per game0.130.29
Sets with a tie-break19%16%
Tie-breaks won14/338/15
Wins in straight sets77%56%
Matches in the sample7838

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Enrico Dalla Valle

Federico Bondioli

  • 31/08/26LFederico Arnaboldi#478Challenger Como · R324:2
  • 19/07/26LMax Alcala Gurri#138Challenger Cordenons · F2:6 0:6
  • 18/07/26WMatyas Fuele#592Challenger Cordenons · SF6:2 6:4
  • 17/07/26WSumit Nagal#253Challenger Cordenons · QF1:6 7:5 6:3
  • 15/07/26WGuido Ivan Justo#188Challenger Cordenons · R166:3 7:6
  • 14/07/26WAlvaro Guillen Meza#332Challenger Cordenons · R326:7 6:3 7:6
  • 10/07/26LHenry Bernet#371Challenger Trieste · QF6:2 6:7 3:6
  • 09/07/26WMaxim Mrva#217Challenger Trieste · R167:5 6:0
  • 07/07/26WJoel Schwaerzler#176Challenger Trieste · R323:6 6:3 7:5
  • 30/06/26LInaki Montes-de la Torre#175Challenger Troyes · R323:6 6:4 1:6

Elo over the last year

Enrico Dalla ValleFederico Bondioli

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. Dalla ValleF. Bondioli
Hard court5–363%1–325%
Clay43–2662%17–1652%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

E. Dalla Valle 0–1 F. Bondioli

  • 25/05/25Winner: Federico Bondioli7:6 2:6 2:6

See also