WTA OsakaWTA 250Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Dart vs Ito 2:1: result and our tips

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Harriet DartWTA #117Elo 1678hard 1689
2:1final6:3 6:7(6) 6:3
Aoi ItoWTA #314Elo 1606hard 1619

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Harriet Dart60%
Aoi Ito40%

Elo: H. Dart 60% · A. Ito 40%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Dart36%
2:1 H. Dart21%
2:1 A. Ito17%
2:0 A. Ito26%

First set

Harriet Dart55%
Aoi Ito45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.537%63%32%

Sample: 2,429 matches

Games handicap

Harriet Dart −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 31 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Harriet DartAoi Ito
2Aces0
4Double faults2
59%First serves in83%
64%First-serve points won48%
35%Second-serve points won29%
10/14Break points converted6/16
8/14Service games held6/16
52%Service points won45%
55%Return points won48%
106Total points won92

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. DartTourA. Ito
Service points won55%56%53%
Return points won47%44%45%
Service games held59%63%57%
Breaks of serve44%37%37%
Aces per service game0.200.12
Double faults per game0.420.43
Sets with a tie-break5%11%
Tie-breaks won1/41/7
Wins in straight sets38%80%
Matches in the sample2928

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Harriet Dart

  • 17/10/26WRina Saigo#306WTA Osaka · Q16:3 6:1
  • 03/10/26LIva Jovic#12WTA Beijing · R646:2 3:6 3:6
  • 01/10/26WYihan QuWTA Beijing · R1286:2 6:7 7:5
  • 29/09/26WYexin Ma#200WTA Beijing · Q26:3 6:2
  • 28/09/26WTiphanie Lemaitre#463WTA Beijing · Q16:2 6:3
  • 03/09/26LMarie Bouzková#26WTA US Open · R642:6 2:6
  • 31/08/26WPeyton Stearns#37WTA US Open · R1283:6 6:3 6:2
  • 28/08/26WHeather Watson#384WTA US Open · Q32:6 6:4 6:1
  • 26/08/26WKristina Penickova#486WTA US Open · Q25:7 6:0 6:3
  • 25/08/26WJordyn HazelittWTA US Open · Q16:0 6:7 6:1

Aoi Ito

Elo over the last year

Harriet DartAoi Ito

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. DartA. Ito
Hard court14–767%8–1142%
Clay1–150%1–233%
Grass1–517%1–517%

Head to head

H. Dart 1–0 A. Ito

  • 13/08/26Winner: Harriet Dart6:3 6:4

Road through the tournament

Harriet Dart

Aoi Ito