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WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Dart vs Yamaguchi 2:0: result and our tips

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Harriet DartWTA #115Elo 1684hard 1696
2:0final6:2 6:1
Mei YamaguchiWTA #257Elo 1502hard 1502

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Harriet Dart85%
Mei Yamaguchi15%

Elo: H. Dart 75% · M. Yamaguchi 25%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Dart64%
2:1 H. Dart21%
2:1 M. Yamaguchi7%
2:0 M. Yamaguchi7%

First set

Harriet Dart78%
Mei Yamaguchi22%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes28%
no72%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 53%market (no margin): 50%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.575%25%82%
17.565%36%72%
18.555%45%64%
19.547%53%56%
20.540%61%49%
21.536%64%44%
22.531%69%38%

Sample: 1,150 matches

Games handicap

H. Dart −5.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 19.5in · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Harriet DartMei Yamaguchi
1Aces0
1Double faults3
59%First serves in50%
71%First-serve points won50%
53%Second-serve points won18%
6/7Break points converted1/2
6/7Service games held2/8
63%Service points won34%
66%Return points won37%
55Total points won30

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. DartTourM. Yamaguchi
Service points won55%56%55%
Return points won47%44%44%
Service games held59%63%59%
Breaks of serve44%37%38%
Aces per service game0.190.17
Double faults per game0.400.24
Sets with a tie-break8%7%
Tie-breaks won2/72/3
Wins in straight sets33%38%
Matches in the sample3217

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Harriet Dart

Mei Yamaguchi

Elo over the last year

Harriet DartMei Yamaguchi

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. DartM. Yamaguchi
Hard court16–867%8–850%
Clay1–150%0–0
Grass1–517%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Harriet Dart

Mei Yamaguchi