Davidovich Fokina vs Brooksby 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Under 24.5 games in recent matches: Davidovich Fokina 15 of 20, Brooksby 17 of 20 (tour average 62%)
Other tips
- 1st Set Winner: Davidovich FokinaWon65%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Davidovich Fokina won the first set in 16 of the last 20 matches, Brooksby lost the first set in 10 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
- Match Winner: Davidovich FokinaWon70%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 70%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Davidovich Fokina won 7 of the last 10 matches
Where the number comes from: market alone 53% → with the players' profiles 49%
Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Davidovich Fokina 12 of 20, Brooksby 14 of 20 (tour average 55%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Davidovich Fokina 71% · J. Brooksby 29%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 73% | 27% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 65% | 35% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 58% | 42% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 51% | 49% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 43% | 57% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 34% |
Sample: 4,692 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 38%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Over 22.0out · 16 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Jenson Brooksby | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aces | 1 |
| 0 | Double faults | 1 |
| 78% | First serves in | 72% |
| 69% | First-serve points won | 52% |
| 55% | Second-serve points won | 35% |
| 5/8 | Break points converted | 1/2 |
| 7/8 | Service games held | 3/8 |
| 66% | Service points won | 48% |
| 53% | Return points won | 34% |
| 65 | Total points won | 46 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Davidovich Fokina | Tour | J. Brooksby | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 84% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 20% |
| Aces per service game | 0.37 | 0.29 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.14 | 0.12 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 22% | 9% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 17/29 | 3/9 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 88% | |
| Matches in the sample | 53 | 41 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
- 01/10/26LMatteo Berrettini#46ATP Tokyo · R326:1 6:7 4:6
- 29/09/26WHubert Hurkacz#34ATP Chengdu · F6:4 7:6
- 28/09/26WNikoloz Basilashvili#124ATP Chengdu · SF4:6 6:4 6:3
- 27/09/26WAlexandre Muller#133ATP Chengdu · QF6:1 7:5
- 26/09/26WJuan Manuel Cerúndolo#55ATP Chengdu · R166:4 6:4
- 16/07/26LAlex Molcan#84ATP Umag · QF6:3 1:6 2:6
- 15/07/26WMarco Trungelliti#90ATP Umag · R166:4 7:5
- 05/07/26LFelix Auger-Aliassime#5ATP Wimbledon · R167:6 6:7 3:6 7:6 1:6
- 03/07/26WMarton Fucsovics#134ATP Wimbledon · R327:6 6:2 6:3
- 01/07/26WFabian Marozsan#63ATP Wimbledon · R646:3 6:0 6:3
Jenson Brooksby
- 08/10/26WJaume Munar#49ATP Shanghai · R1287:5 6:4
- 27/09/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#124ATP Chengdu · QF4:6 6:7
- 25/09/26WLorenzo Sonego#87ATP Chengdu · R165:7 7:5 6:2
- 23/09/26WSebastián Báez#53ATP Chengdu · R327:5 7:5
- 30/08/26LJaime Faria#60ATP US Open · R1283:6 6:7 6:4 6:1 2:6
- 24/08/26LStefanos Tsitsipas#43ATP Winston Salem · R324:6 6:7
- 23/08/26WGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard#108ATP Winston Salem · R646:3 6:2
- 14/08/26LJaime Faria#60ATP Cincinnati · R1283:6 2:6
- 05/08/26LBen Shelton#4ATP Montreal · R643:6 5:7
- 04/08/26WAdam Walton#98ATP Montreal · R1286:3 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Davidovich Fokina | J. Brooksby | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 20–1165% | 12–1544% |
| Clay | 5–550% | 0–60% |
| Grass | 9–375% | 4–450% |
Head to head
A. Davidovich Fokina 1–0 J. Brooksby
- 22/10/25Winner: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6:7 6:4 7:5
Road through the tournament
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
First match in this tournament.
Jenson Brooksby
- 08/10/26WJaume Munar#49ATP Shanghai · R1287:5 6:4