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Challenger GuayaquilChallenger 75Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Del Pino vs Leite 1:1: result and our tips

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Mateo Del PinoElo 1274clay 1284
1:1retired5:7 6:3 1:0
Wilson LeiteATP #695Elo 1379clay 1387

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: Leite72%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Del Pino lost the first set in 7 of the last 8 matches, Leite won the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Leite79%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 79%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Del Pino lost 7 of the last 8 matches

  • Total Games: Under 21.562%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 55% → with the players' profiles 62%

    Del Pino: 3 matches in a row under 21.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mateo Del Pino22%
Wilson Leite78%

Elo: M. Del Pino 36% · W. Leite 65%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Del Pino12%
2:1 M. Del Pino11%
2:1 W. Leite22%
2:0 W. Leite56%

First set

Mateo Del Pino28%
Wilson Leite72%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 56%market (no margin): 52%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.575%25%84%
17.566%35%76%
18.556%44%68%
19.549%51%59%
20.544%56%52%
21.538%62%47%
22.534%66%40%

Sample: 2,664 matches

Games handicap

W. Leite −4.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes16%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Match stats

Mateo Del PinoWilson Leite
2Aces2
3Double faults6
59%First serves in55%
61%First-serve points won63%
60%Second-serve points won45%
4/13Break points converted3/5
8/11Service games held7/11
60%Service points won55%
45%Return points won40%
86Total points won80

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. Del PinoTourW. Leite
Service points won54%62%60%
Return points won41%38%40%
Service games held57%76%71%
Breaks of serve28%24%29%
Aces per service game0.180.18
Double faults per game0.280.19
Sets with a tie-break11%11%
Tie-breaks won1/24/8
Wins in straight sets0%71%
Matches in the sample831

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mateo Del Pino

  • 18/10/26LJuan Sebastian Gomez#584Challenger Cali · Q14:6 4:6
  • 21/09/26LJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#332Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q11:6 2:6
  • 14/06/26LGustavo Ribeiro de Almeida#805Challenger Asuncion 2 · Q12:6 1:6
  • 08/06/26LArklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova#676Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Q24:6 6:4 6:7
  • 07/06/26WConnor Huertas Del Pino#633Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Q17:6 2:6 6:1
  • 22/02/26LJoao Eduardo Schiessl#547Challenger Tigre 2 · Q12:6 4:6
  • 15/02/26LJose Pereira#738Challenger Tigre · Q15:7 2:6
  • 01/02/26LJuan Manuel La Serna#251Challenger Rosario · Q14:6 5:7
  • 02/02/25LEmilio Nava#123Challenger Rosario · Q13:6 2:6
  • 15/04/24LAlejo Lorenzo Lingua LavallenChallenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Q22:6 5:7

Wilson Leite

  • 18/10/26LSergio Luis Hernandez RamirezChallenger Cali · Q16:4 4:6 5:7
  • 12/10/26LHernan Casanova#435Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q22:6 4:6
  • 11/10/26WLuis BrittoChallenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q16:1 6:2
  • 04/10/26LHernan Casanova#435Challenger Antofagasta · Q13:6 6:3 4:6
  • 29/09/26LBruno Fernandez#553Challenger Curitiba · R324:6 6:1 2:6
  • 28/09/26LLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#519Challenger Curitiba · Q21:6 6:7
  • 27/09/26WJustin Roberts#962Challenger Curitiba · Q16:2 6:4
  • 26/06/26LNick Hardt#307Challenger Piracicaba · R163:6 1:6
  • 25/06/26WFilipe BullamahChallenger Piracicaba · R326:0 6:3
  • 22/06/26WRafael Tosetto#819Challenger Piracicaba · Q26:3 4:6 7:6

Elo over the last year

Mateo Del PinoWilson Leite

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. Del PinoW. Leite
Hard court0–01–150%
Clay1–713%13–1645%

Head to head

They have not met yet.