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WTA 125 CourmayeurRound of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Dencheva vs Knutson 1:2: result and our tips

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Rositsa DenchevaWTA #195Elo 1824hard 1662
1:2final5:7 6:3 0:6
Gabriela KnutsonWTA #164Elo 1777hard 1778

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won58%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Dencheva: 5 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Other tips

  • Match Winner: KnutsonWon69%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 69%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Knutson won 8 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Rositsa Dencheva29%
Gabriela Knutson71%

Elo: R. Dencheva 34% · G. Knutson 66%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Dencheva18%
2:1 R. Dencheva14%
2:1 G. Knutson20%
2:0 G. Knutson48%

First set

Rositsa Dencheva36%
Gabriela Knutson64%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%70%
18.565%35%61%
19.557%43%53%
20.549%51%46%
21.542%58%41%
22.538%62%37%
23.535%65%33%

Sample: 1,909 matches

Games handicap

G. Knutson −4.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 20.0in · 27 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Rositsa DenchevaGabriela Knutson
2Aces10
2Double faults6
60%First serves in48%
57%First-serve points won82%
42%Second-serve points won51%
3/7Break points converted6/24
8/14Service games held10/13
51%Service points won66%
34%Return points won49%
81Total points won102

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. DenchevaTourG. Knutson
Service points won55%56%57%
Return points won50%44%43%
Service games held62%63%65%
Breaks of serve51%37%35%
Aces per service game0.110.32
Double faults per game0.270.42
Sets with a tie-break6%9%
Tie-breaks won1/17/9
Wins in straight sets57%65%
Matches in the sample745

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Rositsa Dencheva

  • 13/09/26WAlevtina Ibragimova#171WTA 125 Antalya 4 · F7:5 6:4
  • 12/09/26WIrene Burillo Escorihuela#215WTA 125 Antalya 4 · SF4:6 6:4 6:4
  • 11/09/26WMaria Carle#239WTA 125 Antalya 4 · QF7:5 6:2
  • 10/09/26WFrancesca Jones#98WTA 125 Antalya 4 · R167:6 5:7 6:4
  • 08/09/26WIpek Oz#269WTA 125 Antalya 4 · R324:6 7:5 6:0
  • 07/09/26WMiriana Tona#386WTA 125 Antalya 4 · Q26:1 6:4
  • 06/09/26WAdelina Lachinova#772WTA 125 Antalya 4 · Q16:4 6:0

Gabriela Knutson

  • 16/10/26LMartyna Kubka#148WTA 125 Rovereto · QF5:7 2:4
  • 14/10/26WSusan Bandecchi#149WTA 125 Rovereto · R163:6 7:6 7:6
  • 12/10/26WEmiliana Arango#157WTA 125 Rovereto · R326:4 6:3
  • 25/09/26LMaria Timofeeva#72WTA 125 Porto · QF1:6 2:6
  • 23/09/26WAyana Akli#273WTA 125 Porto · R166:4 5:7 6:4
  • 22/09/26WKatherine Sebov#230WTA 125 Porto · R326:4 6:2
  • 20/09/26LLisa Pigato#102WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · F4:6 2:6
  • 19/09/26WMia Pohankova#144WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · SF7:5 5:7 6:3
  • 18/09/26WMalaika Rapolu#282WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · QF6:2 1:6 6:4
  • 17/09/26WAnouk Koevermans#233WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · R166:3 6:2

Elo over the last year

Rositsa DenchevaGabriela Knutson

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. DenchevaG. Knutson
Hard court0–022–1461%
Clay7–0100%2–250%
Grass0–02–340%

Head to head

They have not met yet.