Donald vs Barranco Cosano 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 55% → with the players' profiles 60%
Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Donald 13 of 20, Barranco Cosano 15 of 19 (tour average 60%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 44%
Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Donald 9 of 20, Barranco Cosano 12 of 19 (tour average 41%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Donald 57% · J. Barranco Cosano 43%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 71% | 29% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 62% | 38% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 56% | 44% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 50% | 50% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 44% | 56% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 40% | 60% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 63% | 36% |
Sample: 4,841 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 21.5out · 26 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| M. W. Donald | Javier Barranco Cosano | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 6 |
| 3 | Double faults | 8 |
| 65% | First serves in | 65% |
| 64% | First-serve points won | 59% |
| 43% | Second-serve points won | 40% |
| 7/10 | Break points converted | 4/6 |
| 9/13 | Service games held | 6/13 |
| 56% | Service points won | 52% |
| 48% | Return points won | 44% |
| 79 | Total points won | 72 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Donald | Tour | J. Barranco Cosano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 58% |
| Return points won | 44% | 38% | 44% |
| Service games held | 71% | 76% | 68% |
| Breaks of serve | 36% | 24% | 38% |
| Aces per service game | 0.14 | 0.20 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.48 | 0.41 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 6% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/9 | 1/3 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 62% | |
| Matches in the sample | 32 | 23 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
M. W. Donald
- 18/10/26WGabriele PennafortiChallenger Florence · Q16:2 6:1
- 03/10/26LJuan Cruz Martin Manzano#371Challenger Bari · SF3:6 2:6
- 02/10/26WMartin Krumich#269Challenger Bari · QF4:6 6:1 6:3
- 01/10/26WLorenzo Giustino#231Challenger Bari · R166:7 6:3 3:1
- 29/09/26WOlle Wallin#413Challenger Bari · R326:3 7:5
- 28/09/26WDimitris Sakellaridis#555Challenger Bari · Q27:5 7:6
- 27/09/26WCarles Cordoba#780Challenger Bari · Q16:1 6:1
- 23/09/26LDali Blanch#320Challenger Genoa 2 · R163:6 1:6
- 22/09/26WGianluca Cadenasso#183Challenger Genoa 2 · R326:3 4:6 7:5
- 13/09/26LGiovanni Oradini#667Challenger Biella · Q17:6 5:7 2:6
Javier Barranco Cosano
- 18/10/26WJacopo LandiniChallenger Florence · Q16:0 6:0
- 11/10/26LRyan Nijboer#383Challenger Maia · Q13:6 2:6
- 07/10/26LOleksii Krutykh#439Challenger Braga · R326:1 4:6 4:6
- 05/10/26WNicolas Barrientos#908Challenger Braga · Q26:3 1:0
- 04/10/26WHugo MaiaChallenger Braga · Q16:2 6:0
- 21/09/26LJohn Sperle#660Challenger Genoa 2 · Q26:7 2:1
- 20/09/26WElia RuffinoChallenger Genoa 2 · Q16:2 6:3
- 19/08/26LRadu Mihai Papoe#274Challenger Prague · R164:6 3:6
- 18/08/26WMartin Krumich#269Challenger Prague · R322:6 6:4 6:4
- 17/08/26WAndrej Martin#358Challenger Prague · Q26:4 5:7 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Donald | J. Barranco Cosano | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 2–167% | 6–555% |
| Clay | 17–1259% | 7–558% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
M. W. Donald
- 18/10/26WGabriele PennafortiChallenger Florence · Q16:2 6:1
Javier Barranco Cosano
- 18/10/26WJacopo LandiniChallenger Florence · Q16:0 6:0