Challenger HelsinkiChallenger 175Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets
Duckworth vs Vasa: prediction and tips
·
Our tips
Tip in 1d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
James Duckworth88%
Eero Vasa12%
Elo: J. Duckworth 82% · E. Vasa 18%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 J. Duckworth69%
2:1 J. Duckworth19%
2:1 E. Vasa6%
2:0 E. Vasa7%
First set
James Duckworth80%
Eero Vasa20%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes24%
no76%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 54%market (no margin): 52%
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 74% | 26% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 64% | 36% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 54% | 46% | 63% |
| 20.5 | 46% | 54% | 55% |
| 21.5 | 39% | 61% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 33% | 67% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 28% | 72% | 37% |
Sample: 1,866 matches
Games handicap
J. Duckworth −5.547%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes29%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Duckworth | Tour | E. Vasa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 84% | 76% | 75% |
| Breaks of serve | 19% | 24% | 25% |
| Aces per service game | 0.63 | 0.49 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.27 | 0.33 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 13/31 | 5/9 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 59% | |
| Matches in the sample | 66 | 33 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
James Duckworth
- 09/11/26LCameron Norrie#53ATP Stockholm · R325:7 0:6
- 31/10/26LMiomir Kecmanovic#64ATP Paris · Q14:6 6:2 4:6
- 24/10/26LAleksandar Kovacevic#83ATP Basel · Q16:7 3:6
- 23/10/26LStefanos Tsitsipas#36ATP Almaty · QF3:6 4:6
- 21/10/26WLuciano Darderi#21ATP Almaty · R167:5 7:6
- 19/10/26WMiomir Kecmanovic#64ATP Almaty · R326:4 6:3
- 14/10/26LLiam Draxl#165Challenger Jinan · R324:6 4:6
- 08/10/26LHubert Hurkacz#30ATP Shanghai · R1283:6 6:7
- 24/09/26LLorenzo Sonego#115ATP Chengdu · R324:6 4:6
- 02/09/26LYibing Wu#105ATP US Open · R645:7 3:6 1:6
Eero Vasa
- 03/11/26LSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#202Challenger Bratislava 2 · R323:6 4:6
- 02/11/26WVadym Ursu#443Challenger Bratislava 2 · Q26:4 6:4
- 01/11/26WAndrej Martin#352Challenger Bratislava 2 · Q16:4 2:6 6:3
- 09/08/26LMichele Mecarelli#774Challenger Todi · Q13:6 2:6
- 22/07/26LMaks Kaśnikowski#207Challenger Tampere · R163:6 2:6
- 21/07/26WNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo#151Challenger Tampere · R327:6 4:6 6:0
- 24/06/26LOgnjen Milic#392Challenger Plovdiv · R166:2 1:6 4:6
- 23/06/26WManas Dhamne#388Challenger Plovdiv · R324:6 7:5 6:4
- 31/05/26LLukas Pokorny#500Challenger Prostejov · Q16:7 4:6
- 24/05/26LGiorgio Tabacco#617Challenger Vicenza · Q16:7 5:7
Elo over the last year
James DuckworthEero Vasa
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Duckworth | E. Vasa | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 23–2251% | 6–555% |
| Clay | 11–473% | 11–1150% |
| Grass | 2–433% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Upcoming matches
- Kimmer Coppejans vs Adrian Oetzbach, · Challenger Helsinki
- Aaron Funk vs Carlo Alberto Caniato, · Challenger Helsinki
- Oskari Paldanius vs Svyatoslav Gulin, · Challenger Helsinki
- Arthur Nagel vs Dusan Lajovic, · Challenger Metz
- Gauthier Onclin vs Thomas Faurel, · Challenger Metz
- Michele Ribecai vs Edas Butvilas, · Challenger Helsinki