Challenger MetzChallenger 175Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets
Nagel vs Lajovic: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from Elo (no market). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Arthur Nagel10%
Dusan Lajovic90%
Elo: A. Nagel 10% · D. Lajovic 90%
from Elo (no market)
Set score
2:0 A. Nagel10%
2:1 A. Nagel7%
2:1 D. Lajovic20%
2:0 D. Lajovic64%
First set
Arthur Nagel23%
Dusan Lajovic77%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes27%
no73%
Total games
Expected total: 21.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 83% | 17% | 88% |
| 17.5 | 74% | 26% | 80% |
| 18.5 | 65% | 35% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 54% | 46% | 63% |
| 20.5 | 46% | 54% | 55% |
| 21.5 | 41% | 59% | 50% |
| 22.5 | 34% | 66% | 43% |
Sample: 3,027 matches
Games handicap
D. Lajovic −4.555%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes28%
tour average 33%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Nagel | Tour | D. Lajovic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 58% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 67% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.33 | 0.37 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.24 | 0.15 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 27% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 2/6 | 12/23 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 0% | 63% | |
| Matches in the sample | 9 | 59 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Arthur Nagel
- 07/11/26LJacob Fearnley#87ATP Stockholm · Q10:6 2:6
- 11/10/26LLoann Massard#797Challenger Roanne · Q16:4 4:6 6:7
- 16/09/26LFrancesco Maestrelli#168Challenger Rennes · R324:6 6:7
- 27/04/26LPierre-Hugues Herbert#250Challenger Aix en Provence · Q12:6 6:7
- 29/03/26LPietro Orlando Fellin#607Challenger Barletta · Q17:6 6:7 2:6
- 01/03/26LYosuke Watanuki#237Challenger Thionville · Q14:6 2:6
- 22/02/26LLucas Poullain#316Challenger St. Brieuc · Q15:7 2:6
- 27/01/26LMatteo Martineau#203Challenger Quimper · Q27:6 5:7 2:6
- 26/01/26WAlex Martinez#470Challenger Quimper · Q12:6 6:2 6:4
- 30/06/25LNiels Visker#419Challenger Troyes · Q24:6 6:7
Dusan Lajovic
- 10/11/26LBuvaysar Gadamauri#269Challenger Orleans · R322:4
- 18/10/26LMaxim Mrva#226ATP Lyon · Q16:7 6:7
- 15/09/26LDiego Dedura#185Challenger Szczecin · R321:5
- 13/09/26LFacundo Diaz Acosta#66Challenger Seville · F2:6 1:6
- 12/09/26WMax Alcala Gurri#131Challenger Seville · SF6:3 3:0
- 11/09/26WHenrique Rocha#111Challenger Seville · QF6:4 6:4
- 10/09/26WCalvin Hemery#284Challenger Seville · R166:4 6:2
- 08/09/26WMartin Landaluce#71Challenger Seville · R326:0 6:4
- 27/08/26LColeman Wong#84ATP US Open · Q34:6 3:6
- 26/08/26WDavid Jorda Sanchis#195ATP US Open · Q27:5 7:6
Elo over the last year
Arthur NagelDusan Lajovic
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Nagel | D. Lajovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 1–614% | 11–955% |
| Clay | 0–20% | 17–1849% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 2–250% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
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