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Challenger KobeChallenger 75Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Leong vs Noguchi: prediction and tips

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Mitsuki Wei Kang LeongATP #412Elo 1509hard 1513
-:-
Rio NoguchiATP #233Elo 1667hard 1663

Our tips

Tip in 22h 39m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong27%
Rio Noguchi73%

Elo: M. Leong 30% · R. Noguchi 70%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Leong15%
2:1 M. Leong12%
2:1 R. Noguchi22%
2:0 R. Noguchi51%

First set

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong33%
Rio Noguchi67%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.577%23%79%
18.569%31%71%
19.560%40%62%
20.553%47%54%
21.547%53%49%
22.541%60%42%
23.536%64%37%

Sample: 4,310 matches

Games handicap

R. Noguchi −3.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. LeongTourR. Noguchi
Service points won63%62%60%
Return points won40%38%41%
Service games held77%76%72%
Breaks of serve28%24%30%
Aces per service game0.480.13
Double faults per game0.280.17
Sets with a tie-break13%13%
Tie-breaks won6/158/19
Wins in straight sets63%60%
Matches in the sample5265

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

  • 09/11/26LJoel Schwaerzler#169Challenger Matsuyama · R322:6 2:6
  • 03/11/26LMasamichi Imamura#439Challenger Taipei · R324:6 4:6
  • 02/11/26LYosuke Watanuki#237Challenger Taipei · Q22:6 2:6
  • 01/11/26WTin ChenChallenger Taipei · Q16:1 7:6
  • 26/10/26LQian Sun#910Challenger Ningbo · Q14:6 5:7
  • 19/10/26LLuca Castelnuovo#434Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q23:6 4:6
  • 18/10/26WFumin JiangChallenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:7 6:4 3:1
  • 08/10/26LJay Friend#256Challenger Wuning 3 · R163:6 3:6
  • 06/10/26WSidharth Rawat#642Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:3 4:6 6:1
  • 29/09/26LMarat Sharipov#228Challenger Jingshan · Q22:6 3:6

Rio Noguchi

Elo over the last year

Mitsuki Wei Kang LeongRio Noguchi

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. LeongR. Noguchi
Hard court30–2159%33–2260%
Clay0–01–233%
Grass0–10%3–443%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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