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Challenger KobeChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Zhukov vs Kumasaka: prediction and tips

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Maxim ZhukovATP #823Elo 1390hard 1388
-:-
Takuya KumasakaATP #668Elo 1469hard 1468

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.562%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Kumasaka: 9 matches in a row without a deciding set

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Kumasaka61%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 61%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Zhukov lost 7 of the last 8 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Maxim Zhukov40%
Takuya Kumasaka61%

Elo: M. Zhukov 39% · T. Kumasaka 61%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Zhukov23%
2:1 M. Zhukov16%
2:1 T. Kumasaka21%
2:0 T. Kumasaka39%

First set

Maxim Zhukov42%
Takuya Kumasaka58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%71%
19.565%35%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.552%48%49%
22.545%55%42%
23.541%60%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 6,177 matches

Games handicap

T. Kumasaka −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. ZhukovTourT. Kumasaka
Service points won59%62%59%
Return points won36%38%39%
Service games held70%76%68%
Breaks of serve21%24%25%
Aces per service game0.370.28
Double faults per game0.390.21
Sets with a tie-break29%14%
Tie-breaks won3/85/8
Wins in straight sets50%92%
Matches in the sample1127

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Maxim Zhukov

  • 25/10/26LSemen Pankin#421Challenger Ningbo · Q14:6 6:7
  • 05/10/26LRyan Seggerman#560Challenger Wuning 3 · Q27:6 1:6 2:6
  • 04/10/26WEgor AgafonovChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:7 7:5 3:3
  • 13/09/26LThijmen LoofChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q16:7 7:5 3:6
  • 06/09/26LSamir Hamza Reguig#712Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q16:7 6:3 0:1
  • 11/08/26LSergey Fomin#333Challenger Astana · R325:7 1:4
  • 02/08/26LKerem Yilmaz#863Challenger Istanbul 2 · Q16:7 7:6 2:6
  • 18/01/26LDavid Jorda Sanchis#195Challenger Phan Thiet · Q11:6 7:6 3:6
  • 04/01/26LShintaro Imai#929Challenger Nonthaburi · Q14:6 4:6
  • 19/11/25LRei Sakamoto#122Challenger Yokohama · R161:6 2:6

Takuya Kumasaka

  • 10/11/26LYi Zhou#279Challenger Matsuyama · R320:6 1:6
  • 09/11/26WLuca Staeheli#442Challenger Matsuyama · Q26:1 6:4
  • 08/11/26WYuta Tomida#773Challenger Matsuyama · Q16:3 6:3
  • 06/09/26LMartin Borisiouk#728Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q14:6 2:6
  • 30/08/26LJoshua Charlton#873Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q13:6 4:6
  • 12/08/26LHayato Matsuoka#246Challenger Astana · R164:6 1:6
  • 11/08/26WColin Sinclair#479Challenger Astana · R326:2 7:6
  • 04/08/26LAlexander Donski#515Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · R325:7 4:6
  • 28/07/26LFlorent Bax#292Challenger Samsun · R326:7 3:6
  • 21/07/26LLuka Pavlovic#198Challenger Segovia · R326:3 1:6 2:6

Elo over the last year

Maxim ZhukovTakuya Kumasaka

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. ZhukovT. Kumasaka
Hard court2–918%12–1643%

Head to head

M. Zhukov 0–1 T. Kumasaka

  • 26/10/25Winner: T. Kumasaka6:3 4:6 1:6

Upcoming matches

See also