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Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Tomida vs Kumasaka: prediction and tips

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Yuta TomidaATP #781Elo 1500hard 1500
-:-
Takuya KumasakaATP #661Elo 1410hard 1413

Our tips

Tip in 7h 2m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Yuta Tomida25%
Takuya Kumasaka75%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Tomida14%
2:1 Y. Tomida11%
2:1 T. Kumasaka22%
2:0 T. Kumasaka53%

First set

Yuta Tomida31%
Takuya Kumasaka69%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

Expected total: 22.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%29%71%
19.563%37%62%
20.554%46%54%
21.548%52%49%
22.542%58%42%
23.536%64%37%
24.534%66%35%

Sample: 4,001 matches

Games handicap

T. Kumasaka −4.544%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes32%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. TomidaTourT. Kumasaka
Service points won—62%59%
Return points won—38%39%
Service games held—76%69%
Breaks of serve—24%24%
Aces per service game—0.27
Double faults per game—0.22
Sets with a tie-break—14%
Tie-breaks won—5/8
Wins in straight sets—82%
Matches in the sample—26

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yuta Tomida

No matches on record.

Takuya Kumasaka

  • 06/09/26LMartin Borisiouk#726Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q14:6 2:6
  • 30/08/26LJoshua Charlton#851Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q13:6 4:6
  • 12/08/26LHayato Matsuoka#247Challenger Astana · R164:6 1:6
  • 11/08/26WColin Sinclair#485Challenger Astana · R326:2 7:6
  • 04/08/26LAlexander Donski#519Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · R325:7 4:6
  • 28/07/26LFlorent Bax#292Challenger Samsun · R326:7 3:6
  • 21/07/26LLuka Pavlovic#203Challenger Segovia · R326:3 1:6 2:6
  • 20/07/26WSergio Callejon Hernando#494Challenger Segovia · Q26:3 7:6
  • 19/07/26WAsier Meneses PernyChallenger Segovia · Q16:2 6:4
  • 13/07/26LPavel Lagutin#389Challenger Pozoblanco · Q23:6 1:6

Elo over the last year

Yuta TomidaTakuya Kumasaka

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. TomidaT. Kumasaka
Hard court0–011–1641%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also