Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying
Matsuda vs Mochizuki: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 5h 52mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Koki Matsuda73%
Yuki Mochizuki27%
Elo: K. Matsuda 59% · Y. Mochizuki 41%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 K. Matsuda50%
2:1 K. Matsuda22%
2:1 Y. Mochizuki12%
2:0 Y. Mochizuki15%
First set
Koki Matsuda67%
Yuki Mochizuki33%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%
Total games
Expected total: 22.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 72% | 28% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 64% | 36% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 56% | 44% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 50% | 50% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 44% | 57% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 63% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 65% | 35% |
Sample: 4,342 matches
Games handicap
K. Matsuda −3.554%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes33%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| K. Matsuda | Tour | Y. Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 58% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 77% | 76% | 68% |
| Breaks of serve | 18% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.52 | 0.29 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.19 | 0.22 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 21% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 13/18 | 3/5 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 43% | |
| Matches in the sample | 35 | 19 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Koki Matsuda
- 01/11/26LKasidit Samrej#409Challenger Taipei · Q13:6 6:7
- 27/10/26LTerence Atmane#73Challenger Seoul · R326:4 1:6 2:6
- 26/10/26LBeibit Zhukayev#522Challenger Seoul · Q24:6 6:7
- 25/10/26WGeun Jun Kim#920Challenger Seoul · Q17:6 6:4
- 20/10/26LYi Zhou#281Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R321:6 3:6
- 19/10/26WOmar Jasika#329Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q26:4 7:6
- 18/10/26WMillen Hurrion#503Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:3 4:6 7:6
- 06/10/26LEvan Zhu#467Challenger Wuning 3 · R323:6 3:6
- 28/09/26LKeisuke Saitoh#483Challenger Jingshan · Q13:6 2:6
- 15/09/26LArthur Weber#419Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R321:6 2:6
Yuki Mochizuki
- 03/05/26LPhilip Sekulic#343Challenger Wuxi · Q13:6 3:6
- 27/04/26LGerard Campana Lee#445Challenger Shymkent 2 · Q24:6 4:6
- 26/04/26WAnton ChekhovChallenger Shymkent 2 · Q13:6 6:4 6:4
- 19/04/26LBekhan AtlangerievChallenger Shymkent · Q11:6 2:6
- 12/04/26LKhumoyun Sultanov#411Challenger Wuning 2 · Q13:6 4:6
- 07/04/26LClement Chidekh#131Challenger Wuning · R324:6 1:6
- 06/04/26LPhilip Sekulic#343Challenger Wuning · Q21:6 4:6
- 05/04/26WBen Jones#830Challenger Wuning · Q14:6 7:6 7:6
- 30/03/26LLi Tu#506Challenger Miyazaki · Q21:6 2:6
- 29/03/26WShunsuke NakagawaChallenger Miyazaki · Q16:2 7:5
Elo over the last year
Koki MatsudaYuki Mochizuki
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| K. Matsuda | Y. Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 18–1850% | 6–1135% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 1–233% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
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