Samrej vs Matsuda 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 55% → with the players' profiles 57%
Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Samrej 13 of 20, Matsuda 14 of 20 (tour average 49%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 41% → with the players' profiles 44%
Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Samrej 10 of 20, Matsuda 10 of 20 (tour average 37%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: K. Samrej 65% · K. Matsuda 35%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 71% | 29% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 63% | 37% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 57% | 43% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 50% | 50% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 44% | 57% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 37% | 63% | 32% |
Sample: 5,962 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Over 22.5out · 22 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Kasidit Samrej | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aces | 9 |
| 2 | Double faults | 6 |
| 70% | First serves in | 60% |
| 77% | First-serve points won | 83% |
| 65% | Second-serve points won | 44% |
| 1/5 | Break points converted | 0/2 |
| 11/11 | Service games held | 9/10 |
| 73% | Service points won | 67% |
| 33% | Return points won | 27% |
| 71 | Total points won | 63 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| K. Samrej | Tour | K. Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 19% |
| Aces per service game | 0.51 | 0.51 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.39 | 0.17 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/14 | 14/19 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 47% | 57% | |
| Matches in the sample | 33 | 38 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Kasidit Samrej
- 26/10/26LRei Sakamoto#123Challenger Seoul · R323:6 4:6
- 21/10/26LColeman Wong#85Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R166:4 3:6 4:6
- 20/10/26WRio Noguchi#219Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R322:6 6:1 7:6
- 19/10/26LYaroslav Demin#358Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q24:6 2:6
- 18/10/26WNaoya Honda#584Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q14:6 6:3 7:5
- 08/10/26LFajing Sun#287Challenger Wuning 3 · R164:6 5:7
- 06/10/26WEnzo Aguiard#427Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:1 6:3
- 09/09/26LYuta Shimizu#405Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R164:6 4:6
- 08/09/26WSidharth Rawat#644Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:2 6:7 6:2
- 06/09/26LIlia Simakin#148Challenger Zhangjiagang · F3:6 1:6
Koki Matsuda
- 27/10/26LTerence Atmane#73Challenger Seoul · R326:4 1:6 2:6
- 26/10/26LBeibit Zhukayev#522Challenger Seoul · Q24:6 6:7
- 25/10/26WGeun Jun Kim#920Challenger Seoul · Q17:6 6:4
- 20/10/26LYi Zhou#281Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R321:6 3:6
- 19/10/26WOmar Jasika#329Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q26:4 7:6
- 18/10/26WMillen Hurrion#503Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:3 4:6 7:6
- 06/10/26LEvan Zhu#467Challenger Wuning 3 · R323:6 3:6
- 28/09/26LKeisuke Saitoh#483Challenger Jingshan · Q13:6 2:6
- 15/09/26LArthur Weber#419Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R321:6 2:6
- 10/09/26LPhilip Sekulic#343Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R162:6 6:4 5:7
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| K. Samrej | K. Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 17–1652% | 21–1854% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.