Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets
Nakagawa vs Jorda Sanchis: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Shunsuke Nakagawa26%
David Jorda Sanchis74%
Elo: S. Nakagawa 29% · D. Jorda Sanchis 71%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 S. Nakagawa15%
2:1 S. Nakagawa12%
2:1 D. Jorda Sanchis22%
2:0 D. Jorda Sanchis52%
First set
Shunsuke Nakagawa32%
David Jorda Sanchis68%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no67%
Total games
Expected total: 22.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 71% | 29% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 63% | 37% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 36% | 64% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 66% | 35% |
Sample: 4,123 matches
Games handicap
D. Jorda Sanchis −3.556%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes32%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| S. Nakagawa | Tour | D. Jorda Sanchis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 73% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.31 | 0.43 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.27 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 10% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 2/3 | 6/16 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 11 | 67 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Shunsuke Nakagawa
- 28/07/26LKenta (2004) Miyoshi#422Challenger Samsun · R322:6 2:6
- 27/07/26WMirza Basic#948Challenger Samsun · Q23:6 6:4 6:4
- 26/07/26WSaba Purtseladze#593Challenger Samsun · Q17:6 6:3
- 13/04/26LMasamichi Imamura#437Challenger Wuning 2 · Q23:6 4:6
- 12/04/26WS D Prajwal Dev#678Challenger Wuning 2 · Q16:3 6:4
- 29/03/26LYuki Mochizuki#834Challenger Miyazaki · Q12:6 5:7
- 22/03/26LCarl Emil Overbeck#301Challenger Yokkaichi · Q16:4 1:6 2:6
- 02/03/26LTakuya Kumasaka#661Challenger Fujairah · Q16:7 3:6
- 04/01/26LJames Watt#943Challenger Noumea · Q13:6 4:6
- 04/01/26WLouam BoivinChallenger Noumea · Q16:3 6:0
David Jorda Sanchis
- 07/10/26LAbdullah Shelbayh#311Challenger Villena · R324:6 3:6
- 03/10/26LInaki Montes-de la Torre#191Challenger Porto 2 · SF2:6 3:6
- 02/10/26WDaniel Rincon#234Challenger Porto 2 · QF6:3 6:4
- 01/10/26WGoncalo Marques#583Challenger Porto 2 · R166:4 7:5
- 29/09/26WJesper De Jong#104Challenger Porto 2 · R326:4 3:5
- 23/09/26LDino Prizmic#92Challenger Saint Tropez · R161:6 6:7
- 22/09/26WHarry Wendelken#213Challenger Saint Tropez · R326:2 6:4
- 14/09/26LLucas Poullain#327Challenger Rennes · R325:7 4:6
- 02/09/26LLuca Potenza#566Challenger Manacor · R325:7 6:2 5:7
- 26/08/26LDusan Lajovic#163ATP US Open · Q25:7 6:7
Elo over the last year
Shunsuke NakagawaDavid Jorda Sanchis
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| S. Nakagawa | D. Jorda Sanchis | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 4–736% | 9–1439% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 27–1761% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
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