Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets
Smith vs Hsu: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Keegan Smith55%
Yu Hsiou Hsu45%
Elo: K. Smith 52% · Y. Hsu 48%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 K. Smith35%
2:1 K. Smith20%
2:1 Y. Hsu18%
2:0 Y. Hsu27%
First set
Keegan Smith54%
Yu Hsiou Hsu46%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
Expected total: 24.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 72% | 28% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 64% | 36% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 58% | 43% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 51% | 49% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 45% | 55% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 41% | 59% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 62% | 32% |
Sample: 5,726 matches
Games handicap
K. Smith −1.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes43%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| K. Smith | Tour | Y. Hsu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 67% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 34% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 85% | 76% | 73% |
| Breaks of serve | 16% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.62 | 0.26 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.15 | 0.17 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 26% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 21/43 | 8/12 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 66 | 45 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Keegan Smith
- 03/11/26LJake Delaney#350Challenger Taipei · R326:3 3:6 4:6
- 27/10/26LYu Hsiou Hsu#304Challenger Ningbo · R326:4 5:7 6:7
- 23/10/26LTristan Schoolkate#143Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · QF6:7 3:6
- 22/10/26WFajing Sun#287Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R163:6 6:4 7:6
- 20/10/26WMax Purcell#618Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:4 7:6
- 16/10/26LMartin Landaluce#67Challenger Jinan · QF6:3 2:6 3:6
- 14/10/26WVit Kopriva#62Challenger Jinan · R166:3 3:6 6:3
- 13/10/26WStefanos Sakellaridis#129Challenger Jinan · R327:6 3:6 6:3
- 06/10/26LHiroki Moriya#455Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:3 6:7 3:6
- 02/10/26LMitchell Krueger#361Challenger Columbus · QF4:6 6:7
Yu Hsiou Hsu
- 03/11/26LOmar Jasika#329Challenger Taipei · R321:6 6:3 4:6
- 31/10/26LYaroslav Demin#358Challenger Ningbo · SF5:7 6:1 4:6
- 30/10/26WMert Alkaya#321Challenger Ningbo · QF6:3 6:3
- 28/10/26WYuta Shimizu#405Challenger Ningbo · R167:5 3:6 6:4
- 27/10/26WKeegan Smith#192Challenger Ningbo · R324:6 7:5 7:6
- 20/10/26LJie Cui#367Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R322:6 4:6
- 08/09/26LIlya Ivashka#223Challenger Shanghai · R323:6 3:6
- 02/09/26LJames Kent Trotter#542Challenger Zhangjiagang · R164:6 5:7
- 01/09/26WElias Ymer#245Challenger Zhangjiagang · R327:6 5:5
- 03/08/26LSebastian Gorzny#403Challenger Lexington · R326:3 1:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Keegan SmithYu Hsiou Hsu
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| K. Smith | Y. Hsu | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 25–2451% | 15–1845% |
| Clay | 6–367% | 3–443% |
| Grass | 4–450% | 2–433% |
Head to head
K. Smith 0–1 Y. Hsu
- 27/10/26Winner: Y. Hsu6:4 5:7 6:7
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