Smith vs Delaney 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 54% → with the players' profiles 64%
Smith: 18 matches in a row over 20.5 games; Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Smith 19 of 20, Delaney 12 of 20 (tour average 54%)
Other tips
- 1st Set Winner: SmithWon69%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Smith won the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches, Delaney lost the first set in 16 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 31% → with the players' profiles 34%
Over 25.5 games in recent matches: Smith 12 of 20, Delaney 9 of 20 (tour average 32%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: K. Smith 66% · J. Delaney 34%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 73% | 27% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 64% | 36% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 56% | 44% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 49% | 51% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 34% | 66% | 32% |
Sample: 3,859 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 23.0out · 28 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Keegan Smith | Jake Delaney | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Aces | 12 |
| 2 | Double faults | 4 |
| 71% | First serves in | 49% |
| 77% | First-serve points won | 84% |
| 46% | Second-serve points won | 58% |
| 1/8 | Break points converted | 2/10 |
| 12/14 | Service games held | 13/14 |
| 68% | Service points won | 71% |
| 29% | Return points won | 32% |
| 86 | Total points won | 91 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| K. Smith | Tour | J. Delaney | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 67% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 34% | 38% | 33% |
| Service games held | 85% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 16% | 24% | 16% |
| Aces per service game | 0.61 | 0.69 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.15 | 0.26 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 27% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 21/43 | 7/20 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 66 | 42 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Keegan Smith
- 27/10/26LYu Hsiou Hsu#304Challenger Ningbo · R326:4 5:7 6:7
- 23/10/26LTristan Schoolkate#143Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · QF6:7 3:6
- 22/10/26WFajing Sun#287Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R163:6 6:4 7:6
- 20/10/26WMax Purcell#618Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:4 7:6
- 16/10/26LMartin Landaluce#67Challenger Jinan · QF6:3 2:6 3:6
- 14/10/26WVit Kopriva#62Challenger Jinan · R166:3 3:6 6:3
- 13/10/26WStefanos Sakellaridis#129Challenger Jinan · R327:6 3:6 6:3
- 06/10/26LHiroki Moriya#455Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:3 6:7 3:6
- 02/10/26LMitchell Krueger#361Challenger Columbus · QF4:6 6:7
- 01/10/26WBryce Nakashima#570Challenger Columbus · R166:4 3:6 7:5
Jake Delaney
- 01/11/26WKai-I WangChallenger Taipei · Q16:4 6:1
- 30/10/26LLiam Broady#212Challenger Ningbo · QF1:6 6:7
- 29/10/26WYi Zhou#281Challenger Ningbo · R162:6 6:4 6:4
- 27/10/26WAlexander Binda#460Challenger Ningbo · R326:4 4:6 6:4
- 19/10/26LColeman Wong#85Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R324:6 6:7
- 13/10/26LMarat Sharipov#226Challenger Jinan · Q23:6 2:6
- 11/10/26WAjeet RaiChallenger Jinan · Q14:3
- 22/09/26LTaro Daniel#178ATP Hangzhou · Q13:6 4:6
- 17/09/26LBernard Tomic#181Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R163:6 2:6
- 15/09/26WHikaru Shiraishi#680Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R324:6 6:3 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| K. Smith | J. Delaney | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 25–2451% | 17–2145% |
| Clay | 6–367% | 1–325% |
| Grass | 4–450% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Keegan Smith
First match in this tournament.
Jake Delaney
- 01/11/26WKai-I WangChallenger Taipei · Q16:4 6:1