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Challenger TaipeiChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Hsu vs Jasika 1:2: result and our tips

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Yu Hsiou HsuATP #304Elo 1622hard 1626
1:2finalrebuilt1:6 6:3 4:6
Omar JasikaATP #329Elo 1640hard 1638

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoWon66%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No tie-break in recent matches: Hsu 17 of 20, Jasika 15 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Yu Hsiou Hsu60%
Omar Jasika40%

Elo: Y. Hsu 48% · O. Jasika 52%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Hsu39%
2:1 Y. Hsu21%
2:1 O. Jasika17%
2:0 O. Jasika24%

First set

Yu Hsiou Hsu57%
Omar Jasika43%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.567%33%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 6,039 matches

Games handicap

Y. Hsu −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

Tip worked out after the fact from pre-match data — the board was not published yet at the time.

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 22.0in · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Yu Hsiou HsuOmar Jasika
4Aces0
5Double faults0
64%First serves in78%
59%First-serve points won68%
38%Second-serve points won50%
3/12Break points converted5/13
8/13Service games held10/13
52%Service points won64%
36%Return points won49%
83Total points won103

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. HsuTourO. Jasika
Service points won60%62%62%
Return points won38%38%38%
Service games held74%76%76%
Breaks of serve21%24%24%
Aces per service game0.260.18
Double faults per game0.170.24
Sets with a tie-break11%16%
Tie-breaks won8/1210/18
Wins in straight sets48%68%
Matches in the sample4651

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yu Hsiou Hsu

Omar Jasika

Elo over the last year

Yu Hsiou HsuOmar Jasika

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. HsuO. Jasika
Hard court16–1847%24–2549%
Clay3–443%1–150%
Grass2–433%0–0

Head to head

Y. Hsu 1–0 O. Jasika

  • 02/04/26Winner: Y. Hsu6:4 5:7 6:3

Road through the tournament

Yu Hsiou Hsu

First match in this tournament.

Omar Jasika