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Challenger TaipeiChallenger 125Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Donski vs Jasika 1:2: result and our tips

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Alexander DonskiATP #519Elo 1567hard 1555
1:2final6:3 6:7(4) 4:6
Omar JasikaATP #329Elo 1609hard 1607

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 23.5Lost57%

Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 57%

Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Donski 14 of 20, Jasika 16 of 20 (tour average 63%)

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: JasikaLost55%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Donski lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Jasika won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Lost38%

Where the number comes from: market alone 40% → with the players' profiles 38%

Under 20.5 games in recent matches: Donski 10 of 20, Jasika 13 of 20 (tour average 46%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alexander Donski41%
Omar Jasika59%

Elo: A. Donski 43% · O. Jasika 57%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Donski24%
2:1 A. Donski17%
2:1 O. Jasika21%
2:0 O. Jasika38%

First set

Alexander Donski44%
Omar Jasika57%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 54%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%30%62%
20.562%39%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.549%51%42%
23.543%58%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 6,010 matches

Games handicap

O. Jasika −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes38%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 32 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Alexander DonskiOmar Jasika
14Aces6
5Double faults4
52%First serves in77%
77%First-serve points won74%
46%Second-serve points won39%
2/6Break points converted2/8
14/16Service games held13/15
62%Service points won66%
34%Return points won38%
98Total points won106

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. DonskiTourO. Jasika
Service points won63%62%62%
Return points won36%38%38%
Service games held80%76%76%
Breaks of serve21%24%24%
Aces per service game0.770.17
Double faults per game0.450.23
Sets with a tie-break19%14%
Tie-breaks won11/217/15
Wins in straight sets64%70%
Matches in the sample4549

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alexander Donski

Omar Jasika

Elo over the last year

Alexander DonskiOmar Jasika

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. DonskiO. Jasika
Hard court15–1158%22–2547%
Clay10–953%1–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also