Shimizu vs Hsu 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Shimizu 17 of 20, Hsu 12 of 20 (tour average 62%)
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Hsu won 2-0 in 2 of their 3 head-to-head matches
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: Y. Shimizu 54% · Y. Hsu 46%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 68% | 32% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 40% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 5,795 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Over 22.0in · 31 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Yuta Shimizu | Yu Hsiou Hsu | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 2 |
| 2 | Double faults | 1 |
| 65% | First serves in | 70% |
| 64% | First-serve points won | 56% |
| 55% | Second-serve points won | 76% |
| 5/7 | Break points converted | 5/11 |
| 10/15 | Service games held | 11/16 |
| 61% | Service points won | 62% |
| 38% | Return points won | 39% |
| 85 | Total points won | 86 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| Y. Shimizu | Tour | Y. Hsu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 77% | 76% | 73% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.40 | 0.27 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.18 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 21% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 15/25 | 8/13 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 50 | 45 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Yuta Shimizu
- 26/10/26WMili Poljicak#274Challenger Ningbo · R326:7 6:3 6:4
- 18/10/26LMax Purcell#616Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q13:6 1:6
- 01/10/26LBernard Tomic#179Challenger Jingshan · R167:5 2:6 6:7
- 29/09/26WStefanos Sakellaridis#132Challenger Jingshan · R327:6 6:2
- 15/09/26LPhilip Sekulic#338Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R322:6 6:2 5:7
- 12/09/26LArthur Weber#398Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · SF4:6 4:6
- 11/09/26WHiroki Moriya#482Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · QF5:7 7:5 7:6
- 09/09/26WKasidit Samrej#368Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R166:4 6:4
- 08/09/26WAditya Balsekar#883Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:1 6:1
- 18/08/26LAnton Matusevich#309Challenger Roehampton · R324:6 5:7
Yu Hsiou Hsu
- 27/10/26WKeegan Smith#185Challenger Ningbo · R324:6 7:5 7:6
- 20/10/26LJie Cui#393Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R322:6 4:6
- 08/09/26LIlya Ivashka#220Challenger Shanghai · R323:6 3:6
- 02/09/26LJames Kent Trotter#551Challenger Zhangjiagang · R164:6 5:7
- 01/09/26WElias Ymer#227Challenger Zhangjiagang · R327:6 5:5
- 03/08/26LSebastian Gorzny#402Challenger Lexington · R326:3 1:6 2:6
- 29/07/26LMichael Mmoh#147Challenger Vancouver · R323:6 4:6
- 24/07/26LToby Samuel#97Challenger Winnipeg · QF3:6 6:7
- 22/07/26WMees Rottgering#316Challenger Winnipeg · R166:3 6:3
- 20/07/26WJay Friend#266Challenger Winnipeg · R326:3 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| Y. Shimizu | Y. Hsu | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 24–2351% | 14–1844% |
| Clay | 2–167% | 3–443% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 2–433% |
Head to head
Y. Shimizu 1–2 Y. Hsu
- 26/03/26Winner: Y. Shimizu7:5 3:6 6:1
- 10/11/25Winner: Y. Hsu6:7 4:6
- 09/11/23Winner: Y. Hsu4:6 3:6
Road through the tournament
Yuta Shimizu
- 26/10/26WMili Poljicak#274Challenger Ningbo · R326:7 6:3 6:4
Yu Hsiou Hsu
- 27/10/26WKeegan Smith#185Challenger Ningbo · R324:6 7:5 7:6