Hsu vs Smith 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 60% → with the players' profiles 64%
Smith: 17 matches in a row over 20.5 games; Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Hsu 10 of 20, Smith 18 of 20 (tour average 54%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 42%
Smith: 3 matches in a row with a tie-break
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: Y. Hsu 40% · K. Smith 61%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 72% | 28% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 64% | 36% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 57% | 43% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 51% | 49% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 44% | 56% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 62% | 32% |
Sample: 5,962 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 22.5in · 35 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | Keegan Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aces | 11 |
| 2 | Double faults | 2 |
| 76% | First serves in | 74% |
| 74% | First-serve points won | 70% |
| 54% | Second-serve points won | 70% |
| 1/12 | Break points converted | 1/3 |
| 16/17 | Service games held | 16/17 |
| 69% | Service points won | 70% |
| 30% | Return points won | 31% |
| 109 | Total points won | 115 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| Y. Hsu | Tour | K. Smith | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 67% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 73% | 76% | 85% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 17% |
| Aces per service game | 0.27 | 0.61 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.16 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 26% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/12 | 22/43 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 55% | |
| Matches in the sample | 44 | 69 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Yu Hsiou Hsu
- 20/10/26LJie Cui#393Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R322:6 4:6
- 08/09/26LIlya Ivashka#220Challenger Shanghai · R323:6 3:6
- 02/09/26LJames Kent Trotter#551Challenger Zhangjiagang · R164:6 5:7
- 01/09/26WElias Ymer#227Challenger Zhangjiagang · R327:6 5:5
- 03/08/26LSebastian Gorzny#402Challenger Lexington · R326:3 1:6 2:6
- 29/07/26LMichael Mmoh#147Challenger Vancouver · R323:6 4:6
- 24/07/26LToby Samuel#97Challenger Winnipeg · QF3:6 6:7
- 22/07/26WMees Rottgering#316Challenger Winnipeg · R166:3 6:3
- 20/07/26WJay Friend#266Challenger Winnipeg · R326:3 6:4
- 22/06/26LStefanos Sakellaridis#132ATP Wimbledon · Q14:6 2:6
Keegan Smith
- 23/10/26LTristan Schoolkate#141Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · QF6:7 3:6
- 22/10/26WFajing Sun#292Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R163:6 6:4 7:6
- 20/10/26WMax Purcell#616Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:4 7:6
- 16/10/26LMartin Landaluce#67Challenger Jinan · QF6:3 2:6 3:6
- 14/10/26WVit Kopriva#64Challenger Jinan · R166:3 3:6 6:3
- 13/10/26WStefanos Sakellaridis#132Challenger Jinan · R327:6 3:6 6:3
- 06/10/26LHiroki Moriya#482Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:3 6:7 3:6
- 02/10/26LMitchell Krueger#351Challenger Columbus · QF4:6 6:7
- 01/10/26WBryce Nakashima#576Challenger Columbus · R166:4 3:6 7:5
- 29/09/26WKaylan Bigun#535Challenger Columbus · R324:6 7:6 6:2
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| Y. Hsu | K. Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 14–1844% | 28–2454% |
| Clay | 3–443% | 6–367% |
| Grass | 2–433% | 4–450% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.