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Challenger NingboChallenger 75Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Alkaya vs Hsu 0:2: result and our tips

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Mert AlkayaATP #327Elo 1595hard 1596
0:2final3:6 3:6
Yu Hsiou HsuATP #330Elo 1624hard 1629

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Lost59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Alkaya: 6 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mert Alkaya43%
Yu Hsiou Hsu57%

Elo: M. Alkaya 45% · Y. Hsu 55%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Alkaya26%
2:1 M. Alkaya17%
2:1 Y. Hsu21%
2:0 Y. Hsu37%

First set

Mert Alkaya45%
Yu Hsiou Hsu55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 46%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.567%33%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,869 matches

Games handicap

Y. Hsu −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Mert AlkayaYu Hsiou Hsu
7Aces2
1Double faults0
63%First serves in68%
63%First-serve points won79%
47%Second-serve points won50%
0/1Break points converted3/15
6/9Service games held9/9
57%Service points won70%
30%Return points won43%
63Total points won74

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. AlkayaTourY. Hsu
Service points won62%62%60%
Return points won38%38%37%
Service games held78%76%73%
Breaks of serve26%24%21%
Aces per service game0.570.27
Double faults per game0.230.17
Sets with a tie-break14%11%
Tie-breaks won4/138/12
Wins in straight sets65%45%
Matches in the sample4044

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mert Alkaya

Yu Hsiou Hsu

Elo over the last year

Mert AlkayaYu Hsiou Hsu

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. AlkayaY. Hsu
Hard court18–1751%15–1747%
Clay1–233%3–443%
Grass1–150%2–433%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Mert Alkaya

Yu Hsiou Hsu