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Challenger NingboChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

TE vs Alkaya 0:2: result and our tips

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Rigele TEATP #739Elo 1370hard 1370
0:2final6:7(3) 4:6
Mert AlkayaATP #327Elo 1557hard 1558

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: AlkayaWon63%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 63%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

TE lost 7 of the last 8 matches

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 20.5Won62%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 62%

    Alkaya: 4 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Rigele TE37%
Mert Alkaya63%

Elo: R. TE 25% · M. Alkaya 75%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. TE22%
2:1 R. TE16%
2:1 M. Alkaya22%
2:0 M. Alkaya41%

First set

Rigele TE41%
Mert Alkaya59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 49%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%30%62%
20.562%38%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.549%51%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,787 matches

Games handicap

M. Alkaya −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes39%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.0in · 23 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Rigele TEMert Alkaya
3Aces9
3Double faults0
65%First serves in54%
71%First-serve points won77%
46%Second-serve points won58%
1/10Break points converted2/4
9/11Service games held10/11
62%Service points won68%
32%Return points won38%
68Total points won80

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. TETourM. Alkaya
Service points won61%62%62%
Return points won33%38%39%
Service games held75%76%78%
Breaks of serve15%24%27%
Aces per service game0.700.55
Double faults per game0.270.24
Sets with a tie-break21%12%
Tie-breaks won1/43/12
Wins in straight sets0%55%
Matches in the sample742

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Rigele TE

  • 20/10/26LCruz Hewitt#314Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:4 4:6 6:7
  • 06/10/26LIlia Simakin#146ATP Shanghai · Q23:6 2:6
  • 05/10/26WAdam Walton#98ATP Shanghai · Q15:7 6:3 6:4
  • 28/09/26LArthur Gea#44ATP Beijing · Q12:6 3:6
  • 22/09/26LBernard Tomic#179ATP Hangzhou · Q17:6 4:6 5:7
  • 07/09/26LRio Noguchi#214Challenger Shanghai · R326:7 2:6
  • 04/05/26LDane Sweeny#112Challenger Wuxi · R320:6 6:7
  • 29/04/26LTung-Lin Wu#375Challenger Jiujiang · R324:6 1:6
  • 21/10/25LAoran WangChallenger Suzhou · R326:4 6:7 2:6
  • 13/10/25LHyeon Chung#578Challenger Shenzhen · R326:7 0:3

Mert Alkaya

Elo over the last year

Rigele TEMert Alkaya

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. TEM. Alkaya
Hard court1–614%20–1754%
Clay0–10%1–233%
Grass0–01–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.