WTA WTA Tour FinalsFinalsRound robinhardbest of three sets
Sabalenka vs Muchová: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 22hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Aryna Sabalenka62%
Karolína Muchová38%
Elo: A. Sabalenka 67% · K. Muchová 34%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 A. Sabalenka38%
2:1 A. Sabalenka22%
2:1 K. Muchová16%
2:0 K. Muchová24%
First set
Aryna Sabalenka57%
Karolína Muchová43%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
Expected total: 22.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 2,459 matches
Games handicap
A. Sabalenka −2.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes25%
tour average 22%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Sabalenka | Tour | K. Muchová | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 56% | 62% |
| Return points won | 44% | 44% | 43% |
| Service games held | 80% | 63% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 36% | 37% | 33% |
| Aces per service game | 0.46 | 0.33 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.17 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 14% | 8% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 13/20 | 10/10 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 61% | |
| Matches in the sample | 62 | 53 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Aryna Sabalenka
- 14/10/26LAnn Li#31WTA Wuhan · R326:3 4:6 6:7
- 04/10/26LNikola Bartunkova#29WTA Beijing · R324:6 3:6
- 02/10/26WRenata Zarazua#97WTA Beijing · R646:1 6:3
- 12/09/26LElena Rybakina#1WTA US Open · F4:6 7:5 2:6
- 10/09/26WJessica Pegula#5WTA US Open · SF7:5 6:2
- 08/09/26WLinda Nosková#8WTA US Open · QF7:6 3:6 7:6
- 06/09/26WTaylor Townsend#88WTA US Open · R166:4 6:3
- 04/09/26WKamilla Rakhimova#44WTA US Open · R326:3 6:4
- 02/09/26WPolina Iatcenko#169WTA US Open · R646:1 6:1
- 31/08/26WCamila Osorio#69WTA US Open · R1286:2 6:4
Karolína Muchová
- 15/10/26LDiana Shnaider#11WTA Wuhan · R165:7 3:6
- 14/10/26WCaty McNally#65WTA Wuhan · R323:6 7:6 7:6
- 08/10/26LNikola Bartunkova#29WTA Beijing · QF3:6 0:6
- 06/10/26WNaomi Osaka#16WTA Beijing · R167:5 1:6 7:6
- 04/10/26WLiudmila Samsonova#40WTA Beijing · R324:6 6:4 6:2
- 02/10/26WKatie Boulter#49WTA Beijing · R647:6 6:1
- 04/09/26LEmma Navarro#28WTA US Open · R323:6 5:7
- 02/09/26WKatie Boulter#49WTA US Open · R646:1 6:0
- 31/08/26WSinja Kraus#92WTA US Open · R1286:3 6:0
- 11/07/26LLinda Nosková#8WTA Wimbledon · F2:6 7:5 3:6
Elo over the last year
Aryna SabalenkaKarolína Muchová
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Sabalenka | K. Muchová | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 37–784% | 24–777% |
| Clay | 8–373% | 6–367% |
| Grass | 5–271% | 11–285% |
Head to head
A. Sabalenka 1–3 K. Muchová
- 10/01/26Winner: A. Sabalenka6:3 6:4
- 04/10/24Winner: K. Muchová6:7 6:2 4:6
- 19/08/23Winner: K. Muchová7:6 3:6 2:6
- 08/06/23Winner: K. Muchová6:7 7:6 5:7
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