WTA WTA Tour FinalsFinalsRound robinhardbest of three sets
Gauff vs Pegula: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 22hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Coco Gauff56%
Jessica Pegula44%
Elo: C. Gauff 53% · J. Pegula 47%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 C. Gauff33%
2:1 C. Gauff20%
2:1 J. Pegula18%
2:0 J. Pegula29%
First set
Coco Gauff52%
Jessica Pegula48%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 62% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 2,479 matches
Games handicap
C. Gauff −1.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes25%
tour average 22%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| C. Gauff | Tour | J. Pegula | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 56% | 62% |
| Return points won | 47% | 44% | 45% |
| Service games held | 70% | 63% | 75% |
| Breaks of serve | 42% | 37% | 37% |
| Aces per service game | 0.26 | 0.36 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.48 | 0.17 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 10% | 8% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 9/14 | 9/13 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 61% | |
| Matches in the sample | 60 | 67 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Coco Gauff
- 07/10/26LElise Mertens#14WTA Beijing · R163:6 3:6
- 05/10/26WXinran Sun#303WTA Beijing · R327:5 6:1
- 03/10/26WCamila Osorio#69WTA Beijing · R647:6 4:6 6:2
- 11/09/26LElena Rybakina#1WTA US Open · SF6:3 4:6 4:6
- 09/09/26WMirra Andreeva#3WTA US Open · QF2:6 7:6 6:2
- 07/09/26WIva Jovic#13WTA US Open · R166:1 6:4
- 05/09/26WCristina Bucsa#43WTA US Open · R326:3 6:4
- 03/09/26WPaula Badosa#57WTA US Open · R646:4 7:6
- 01/09/26WZeynep Sonmez#67WTA US Open · R1286:3 6:4
- 23/08/26WJessica Pegula#5WTA Cincinnati · F6:2 6:4
Jessica Pegula
- 14/10/26LJeļena Ostapenko#25WTA Wuhan · R326:2 6:7 3:6
- 10/09/26LAryna Sabalenka#2WTA US Open · SF5:7 2:6
- 09/09/26WEmma Navarro#28WTA US Open · QF3:6 6:4 6:3
- 06/09/26WSorana Cirstea#15WTA US Open · R166:3 6:4
- 04/09/26WLeylah Fernandez#18WTA US Open · R321:6 6:4 6:3
- 02/09/26WSofia Kenin#187WTA US Open · R646:3 6:1
- 30/08/26WElena-Gabriela Ruse#60WTA US Open · R1286:3 6:2
- 23/08/26LCoco Gauff#4WTA Cincinnati · F2:6 4:6
- 22/08/26WIga Świątek#9WTA Cincinnati · SF7:5 4:6 6:4
- 20/08/26WAmanda Anisimova#22WTA Cincinnati · QF6:4 2:6 7:6
Elo over the last year
Coco GauffJessica Pegula
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| C. Gauff | J. Pegula | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 30–977% | 35–1176% |
| Clay | 10–471% | 9–375% |
| Grass | 5–271% | 7–278% |
Head to head
C. Gauff 5–4 J. Pegula
- 23/08/26Winner: C. Gauff6:2 6:4
- 07/07/26Winner: C. Gauff4:6 6:3 6:3
- 02/11/25Winner: J. Pegula3:6 7:6 2:6
- 12/10/25Winner: C. Gauff6:4 7:5
- 03/11/24Winner: C. Gauff6:3 6:2
- 22/06/24Winner: J. Pegula5:7 6:7
- 04/11/23Winner: J. Pegula2:6 1:6
- 29/06/23Winner: C. Gauff6:3 6:3
- 14/02/22Winner: J. Pegula4:6 4:6
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