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Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Takahata vs Shiraishi: prediction and tips

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Riku TakahataElo 1386hard 1387
-:-
Hikaru ShiraishiATP #680Elo 1369hard 1363

Our tips

Tip in 5h 52m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Riku Takahata11%
Hikaru Shiraishi89%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Takahata7%
2:1 R. Takahata5%
2:1 H. Shiraishi18%
2:0 H. Shiraishi70%

First set

Riku Takahata20%
Hikaru Shiraishi81%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes23%
no77%

Total games

Expected total: 20.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.578%22%88%
17.568%32%80%
18.558%42%71%
19.548%52%63%
20.541%59%54%
21.536%64%49%
22.529%71%42%

Sample: 1,722 matches

Games handicap

H. Shiraishi −5.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. TakahataTourH. Shiraishi
Service points won—62%62%
Return points won—38%36%
Service games held—76%76%
Breaks of serve—24%21%
Aces per service game—0.24
Double faults per game—0.17
Sets with a tie-break—14%
Tie-breaks won—1/7
Wins in straight sets—29%
Matches in the sample—19

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Riku Takahata

  • 02/11/25LTaiyo Yamanaka#828Challenger Matsuyama · Q11:6 4:6
  • 03/11/24LDane Sweeny#114Challenger Matsuyama · Q12:6 1:6

Hikaru Shiraishi

  • 06/10/26LRyan Seggerman#563Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:7 7:6 6:7
  • 28/09/26LAdam Walton#98Challenger Jingshan · Q12:6 2:6
  • 15/09/26LJake Delaney#350Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:4 3:6 4:6
  • 13/04/26LRenta Tokuda#909Challenger Busan · Q22:6 3:6
  • 12/04/26WDong Ju Kim#746Challenger Busan · Q17:5 6:3
  • 09/02/26LOmar Jasika#329Challenger Brisbane 2 · R326:4 2:6 6:7
  • 03/02/26LBlake Ellis#412Challenger Brisbane · R326:7 6:7
  • 18/01/26LTim Handel#730Challenger Phan Thiet · Q16:3 3:6 4:6
  • 12/01/26LNeil Oberleitner#853Challenger Nonthaburi 2 · Q26:7 7:5 3:6
  • 11/01/26WAkira Santillan#332Challenger Nonthaburi 2 · Q13:6 6:6

Elo over the last year

Riku TakahataHikaru Shiraishi

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. TakahataH. Shiraishi
Hard court0–07–1237%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also