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Challenger Brisbane 3Challenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Pham vs Marinkov: prediction and tips

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Derek PhamElo 1446hard 1443
-:-
Pavle MarinkovATP #664Elo 1438hard 1433

Our tips

Tip in 4h 52m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Derek Pham52%
Pavle Marinkov48%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Pham32%
2:1 D. Pham20%
2:1 P. Marinkov19%
2:0 P. Marinkov29%

First set

Derek Pham52%
Pavle Marinkov48%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no62%

Total games

Expected total: 23.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.541%60%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,409 matches

Games handicap

D. Pham −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes36%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. PhamTourP. Marinkov
Service points won—62%62%
Return points won—38%35%
Service games held—76%74%
Breaks of serve—24%20%
Aces per service game—0.52
Double faults per game—0.37
Sets with a tie-break—10%
Tie-breaks won—2/6
Wins in straight sets—60%
Matches in the sample—26

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Derek Pham

  • 28/12/24LRichard GasquetATP Brisbane · Q11:6 2:6
  • 09/01/23LPeter GojowczykATP Australian Open · Q12:6 2:6

Pavle Marinkov

  • 27/07/26LChristian Langmo#508Challenger Vancouver · Q14:6 5:7
  • 19/07/26LMikael ArseneaultChallenger Winnipeg · Q13:6 4:6
  • 13/07/26LYibing Wu#105Challenger Lincoln · Q23:6 6:7
  • 12/07/26WRonit Karki#889Challenger Lincoln · Q16:4 6:2
  • 31/05/26LMasamichi Imamura#437Challenger Tyler · Q21:6 1:6
  • 24/05/26LJustin Boulais#439Challenger Little Rock · Q14:6 4:6
  • 13/04/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#408Challenger Wuning 2 · Q22:6 3:6
  • 12/04/26WJoshua Charlton#851Challenger Wuning 2 · Q15:7 6:4 6:4
  • 07/04/26LLi Tu#506Challenger Wuning · R322:6 3:6
  • 06/04/26WJoshua Charlton#851Challenger Wuning · Q26:3 6:7 6:3

Elo over the last year

Derek PhamPavle Marinkov

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. PhamP. Marinkov
Hard court0–010–1638%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also