Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets
Honda vs Sakellaridis: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Naoya Honda19%
Stefanos Sakellaridis82%
Elo: N. Honda 24% · S. Sakellaridis 76%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 N. Honda10%
2:1 N. Honda9%
2:1 S. Sakellaridis21%
2:0 S. Sakellaridis61%
First set
Naoya Honda25%
Stefanos Sakellaridis75%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no71%
Total games
Expected total: 22.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 80% | 20% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 71% | 29% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 62% | 38% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 53% | 47% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 45% | 55% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 39% | 61% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 34% | 67% | 37% |
Sample: 2,789 matches
Games handicap
S. Sakellaridis −4.553%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes33%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| N. Honda | Tour | S. Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 25% |
| Aces per service game | 0.44 | 0.59 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.31 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/9 | 16/28 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 24 | 71 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Naoya Honda
- 29/10/26LLiam Broady#212Challenger Ningbo · R161:6 7:6 4:6
- 27/10/26WFilip Peliwo#600Challenger Ningbo · R325:7 6:3 7:6
- 26/10/26WKhumoyun Sultanov#411Challenger Ningbo · Q13:6 7:5 6:4
- 25/10/26WRyuki Matsuda#646Challenger Ningbo · Q16:3 6:3
- 18/10/26LKasidit Samrej#409Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:4 3:6 5:7
- 04/10/26LKristjan TammChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:7 4:6
- 28/09/26LMarat Sharipov#226Challenger Jingshan · Q16:7 2:6
- 17/09/26LPetr Bar Biryukov#268Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R163:6 4:6
- 16/09/26WNikoloz Basilashvili#87Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R322:6 7:6
- 14/09/26WJesse Flores#810Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q26:4 6:4
Stefanos Sakellaridis
- 03/11/26LYuta Shimizu#405Challenger Taipei · R325:7 4:6
- 29/10/26LColeman Wong#85Challenger Seoul · R161:6 3:6
- 27/10/26WTimofey Skatov#201Challenger Seoul · R326:2 6:2
- 19/10/26LMikhail Kukushkin#345ATP Almaty · R326:7 6:7
- 18/10/26WAlexander Shevchenko#108ATP Almaty · Q27:6 6:4
- 17/10/26WPetr Bar Biryukov#268ATP Almaty · Q16:2 6:3
- 13/10/26LKeegan Smith#192Challenger Jinan · R326:7 6:3 3:6
- 05/10/26LTimofey Skatov#201ATP Shanghai · Q13:6 2:6
- 29/09/26LYuta Shimizu#405Challenger Jingshan · R326:7 2:6
- 11/09/26LLaslo Djere#137Challenger Genoa · QF1:6 7:5 5:7
Elo over the last year
Naoya HondaStefanos Sakellaridis
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| N. Honda | S. Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 13–1154% | 22–1559% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 18–967% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 4–357% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
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