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Challenger TaipeiChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Sakellaridis vs Shimizu 0:2: result and our tips

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Stefanos SakellaridisATP #129Elo 1777hard 1750
0:2final5:7 4:6
Yuta ShimizuATP #405Elo 1660hard 1643

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won70%

Where the number comes from: market alone 68% → with the players' profiles 70%

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Sakellaridis 14 of 20, Shimizu 15 of 20 (tour average 62%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Lost37%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 25.5 games in recent matches: Sakellaridis 9 of 20, Shimizu 9 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Stefanos Sakellaridis57%
Yuta Shimizu43%

Elo: S. Sakellaridis 65% · Y. Shimizu 35%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Sakellaridis37%
2:1 S. Sakellaridis21%
2:1 Y. Shimizu17%
2:0 Y. Shimizu26%

First set

Stefanos Sakellaridis55%
Yuta Shimizu45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 50%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%30%62%
20.562%38%54%
21.557%44%49%
22.550%50%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,911 matches

Games handicap

S. Sakellaridis −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes39%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Stefanos SakellaridisYuta Shimizu
6Aces0
3Double faults0
66%First serves in65%
67%First-serve points won80%
41%Second-serve points won58%
2/4Break points converted4/5
7/11Service games held9/11
59%Service points won72%
28%Return points won42%
53Total points won66

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. SakellaridisTourY. Shimizu
Service points won65%62%63%
Return points won38%38%38%
Service games held79%76%78%
Breaks of serve25%24%23%
Aces per service game0.590.40
Double faults per game0.250.22
Sets with a tie-break17%20%
Tie-breaks won16/2815/25
Wins in straight sets64%64%
Matches in the sample7052

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Yuta Shimizu

Elo over the last year

Stefanos SakellaridisYuta Shimizu

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. SakellaridisY. Shimizu
Hard court22–1461%26–2353%
Clay18–967%2–167%
Grass4–357%0–0

Head to head

S. Sakellaridis 0–1 Y. Shimizu

  • 29/09/26Winner: Y. Shimizu6:7 2:6

Road through the tournament

Stefanos Sakellaridis

First match in this tournament.

Yuta Shimizu