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Challenger TaipeiChallenger 125Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Sakellaridis vs Shimizu 0:2: result and our tips

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Dimitris SakellaridisATP #541Elo 1526hard 1439
0:2final2:6 2:6
Yuta ShimizuATP #405Elo 1637hard 1622

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Dimitris Sakellaridis24%
Yuta Shimizu76%

Elo: D. Sakellaridis 26% · Y. Shimizu 74%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Sakellaridis13%
2:1 D. Sakellaridis11%
2:1 Y. Shimizu22%
2:0 Y. Shimizu54%

First set

Dimitris Sakellaridis30%
Yuta Shimizu70%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 50%market (no margin): 47%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%79%
18.566%34%71%
19.557%43%62%
20.550%50%54%
21.544%57%49%
22.537%63%42%
23.534%66%37%

Sample: 3,713 matches

Games handicap

Y. Shimizu −4.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 20.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Dimitris SakellaridisYuta Shimizu
3Aces4
3Double faults4
60%First serves in62%
55%First-serve points won85%
40%Second-serve points won50%
1/2Break points converted5/10
3/8Service games held7/8
49%Service points won71%
29%Return points won51%
43Total points won62

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. SakellaridisTourY. Shimizu
Service points won57%62%63%
Return points won42%38%38%
Service games held66%76%77%
Breaks of serve34%24%23%
Aces per service game0.270.40
Double faults per game0.290.22
Sets with a tie-break7%21%
Tie-breaks won2/415/25
Wins in straight sets58%62%
Matches in the sample2450

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Dimitris Sakellaridis

  • 25/10/26LYuta Kikuchi#894Challenger Seoul · Q11:6 7:6 5:7
  • 22/10/26LOriol Roca Batalla#290Challenger Florence · R161:6 4:6
  • 20/10/26WJay Clarke#241Challenger Florence · R327:5 4:6 6:2
  • 19/10/26WSergi Perez Contri#431Challenger Florence · Q23:6 6:4 6:3
  • 18/10/26WMattia NannelliChallenger Florence · Q17:5 6:3
  • 11/10/26LOleksandr Ovcharenko#626Challenger Catania · Q11:6 3:6
  • 06/10/26LZdenek Kolar#206Challenger Palermo · R324:6 4:6
  • 05/10/26WM. Cerny#689Challenger Palermo · Q23:6 6:1 7:6
  • 04/10/26WRobert Guna#857Challenger Palermo · Q17:5 6:4
  • 28/09/26LM. W. Donald#353Challenger Bari · Q25:7 6:7

Yuta Shimizu

  • 28/10/26LYu Hsiou Hsu#304Challenger Ningbo · R165:7 6:3 4:6
  • 26/10/26WMili Poljicak#276Challenger Ningbo · R326:7 6:3 6:4
  • 18/10/26LMax Purcell#618Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q13:6 1:6
  • 01/10/26LBernard Tomic#181Challenger Jingshan · R167:5 2:6 6:7
  • 29/09/26WStefanos Sakellaridis#129Challenger Jingshan · R327:6 6:2
  • 15/09/26LPhilip Sekulic#343Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R322:6 6:2 5:7
  • 12/09/26LArthur Weber#419Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · SF4:6 4:6
  • 11/09/26WHiroki Moriya#455Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · QF5:7 7:5 7:6
  • 09/09/26WKasidit Samrej#409Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R166:4 6:4
  • 08/09/26WAditya Balsekar#884Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:1 6:1

Elo over the last year

Dimitris SakellaridisYuta Shimizu

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. SakellaridisY. Shimizu
Hard court1–420%24–2351%
Clay11–858%2–167%

Head to head

They have not met yet.