ATP Stockholm250Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets
Ymer vs Cerúndolo: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 19h 52mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elias Ymer21%
Juan Manuel Cerúndolo79%
Elo: E. Ymer 19% · J. Cerúndolo 81%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 E. Ymer11%
2:1 E. Ymer11%
2:1 J. Cerúndolo21%
2:0 J. Cerúndolo57%
First set
Elias Ymer27%
Juan Manuel Cerúndolo73%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 52%
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 77% | 23% | 76% |
| 19.5 | 68% | 32% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 40% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 47% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 38% |
Sample: 3,167 matches
Games handicap
J. Cerúndolo −4.546%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes42%
tour average 38%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| E. Ymer | Tour | J. Cerúndolo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 18% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.48 | 0.46 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 21% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 12/27 | 17/34 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 58% | |
| Matches in the sample | 55 | 67 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Elias Ymer
- 27/10/26LYi Zhou#281Challenger Ningbo · R326:1 6:7 4:6
- 19/10/26LJames McCabe#256Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R320:6 7:6 6:7
- 13/10/26LMattia Bellucci#66Challenger Jinan · R322:6 1:6
- 05/10/26LMattia Bellucci#66ATP Shanghai · Q16:4 5:7 6:7
- 01/10/26LFederico Cina#136Challenger Jingshan · R166:3 3:6 4:6
- 30/09/26WTerence Atmane#73Challenger Jingshan · R324:6 7:5 5:5
- 22/09/26LAlexis Galarneau#195ATP Chengdu · Q15:7 6:7
- 18/09/26LMarat Sharipov#226Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · QF6:7 3:6
- 16/09/26WLuca Castelnuovo#444Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R167:6 6:4
- 14/09/26WSemen Pankin#424Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R325:7 7:5 6:3
Juan Manuel Cerúndolo
- 02/11/26LCasper Ruud#23ATP Paris · R643:6 2:6
- 01/11/26WMiomir Kecmanovic#60ATP Paris · Q26:4 6:7 7:6
- 31/10/26WAleksandar Kovacevic#84ATP Paris · Q17:6 6:3
- 26/10/26LDaniel Altmaier#63ATP Basel · R327:6 6:7 4:6
- 25/10/26WDaniel Altmaier#63ATP Basel · Q27:6 6:3
- 24/10/26WZachary Svajda#75ATP Basel · Q16:4 6:3
- 20/10/26LMariano Navone#48ATP Brussels · R326:7 2:6
- 10/10/26LCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP Shanghai · R643:6 3:6
- 08/10/26WNicolas Mejia#115ATP Shanghai · R1286:4 6:4
- 30/09/26LYunchaokete Bu#93ATP Beijing · R322:6 7:5 4:6
Elo over the last year
Elias YmerJuan Manuel Cerúndolo
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| E. Ymer | J. Cerúndolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 17–2343% | 15–1354% |
| Clay | 2–340% | 23–1364% |
| Grass | 6–460% | 2–250% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
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