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Challenger Brisbane 3Challenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Overbeck vs Broska: prediction and tips

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Carl Emil OverbeckATP #301Elo 1508hard 1504
-:-
Florian BroskaATP #320Elo 1609hard 1572

Our tips

Tip in 1d 4h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Carl Emil Overbeck62%
Florian Broska38%

Elo: C. Overbeck 40% · F. Broska 60%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Overbeck40%
2:1 C. Overbeck22%
2:1 F. Broska16%
2:0 F. Broska22%

First set

Carl Emil Overbeck59%
Florian Broska41%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

Expected total: 23.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.571%29%62%
20.562%38%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.550%50%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,984 matches

Games handicap

C. Overbeck −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes40%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. OverbeckTourF. Broska
Service points won65%62%64%
Return points won38%38%37%
Service games held80%76%82%
Breaks of serve24%24%21%
Aces per service game0.620.39
Double faults per game0.250.20
Sets with a tie-break18%23%
Tie-breaks won7/149/17
Wins in straight sets57%35%
Matches in the sample3429

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Carl Emil Overbeck

Florian Broska

  • 13/10/26LMilos Karol#597Challenger Maia · R323:6 4:6
  • 12/10/26WSergi Perez Contri#431Challenger Maia · Q26:3 2:6 7:6
  • 11/10/26WAdrian Oetzbach#512Challenger Maia · Q16:3 6:7 6:1
  • 07/10/26LLukas Neumayer#155Challenger Braga · R326:4 3:6 2:6
  • 21/09/26LFederico Arnaboldi#473Challenger Genoa 2 · R321:6 6:7
  • 18/08/26LSean Cuenin#317Challenger Prague · R323:6 5:7
  • 11/08/26LMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#197Challenger Hamburg · R326:7 6:3 5:7
  • 16/07/26LJan Kumstat#194Challenger Bunschoten · R167:6 4:6 4:6
  • 14/07/26WPetr Bar Biryukov#268Challenger Bunschoten · R323:6 6:2 6:3
  • 12/07/26WLorenzo Giustino#272Challenger Liege · F6:7 6:4 6:1

Elo over the last year

Carl Emil OverbeckFlorian Broska

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. OverbeckF. Broska
Hard court21–1362%5–456%
Clay0–10%12–860%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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