Challenger TaipeiChallenger 125Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets
Overbeck vs Samrej: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 16h 52mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Carl Emil Overbeck59%
Kasidit Samrej41%
Elo: C. Overbeck 34% · K. Samrej 66%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 C. Overbeck38%
2:1 C. Overbeck21%
2:1 K. Samrej17%
2:0 K. Samrej24%
First set
Carl Emil Overbeck57%
Kasidit Samrej43%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
Expected total: 23.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 71% | 29% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 63% | 37% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 57% | 43% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 50% | 50% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 44% | 56% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 63% | 32% |
Sample: 6,062 matches
Games handicap
C. Overbeck −2.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes41%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| C. Overbeck | Tour | K. Samrej | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 80% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.60 | 0.50 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.39 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/14 | 9/16 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 53% | |
| Matches in the sample | 33 | 35 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Carl Emil Overbeck
- 04/11/26WChun Hsin Tseng#230Challenger Taipei · R327:6 6:4
- 27/10/26LYaroslav Demin#358Challenger Ningbo · R324:6 4:6
- 29/09/26LHugo Grenier#394Challenger Porto 2 · R324:6 2:6
- 07/09/26LAlafia Ayeni#434Challenger Istanbul 3 · R322:6 5:7
- 01/09/26LLuca Potenza#566Challenger Manacor · Q23:6 3:6
- 31/08/26WRyan Peniston#886Challenger Manacor · Q16:2 6:3
- 17/05/26LEnrico Dalla Valle#309Challenger Cervia · Q11:6 1:6
- 05/04/26LJoshua Charlton#851Challenger Wuning · Q13:6 6:7
- 31/03/26LOgnjen Milic#377Challenger Miyazaki · R324:6 6:7
- 30/03/26WTai Leonard Sach#514Challenger Miyazaki · Q26:1 4:6 6:2
Kasidit Samrej
- 03/11/26WJames McCabe#256Challenger Taipei · R326:3 7:5
- 02/11/26LOmar Jasika#329Challenger Taipei · Q26:7 6:7
- 01/11/26WKoki Matsuda#457Challenger Taipei · Q16:3 7:6
- 26/10/26LRei Sakamoto#123Challenger Seoul · R323:6 4:6
- 21/10/26LColeman Wong#85Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R166:4 3:6 4:6
- 20/10/26WRio Noguchi#219Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R322:6 6:1 7:6
- 19/10/26LYaroslav Demin#358Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q24:6 2:6
- 18/10/26WNaoya Honda#584Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q14:6 6:3 7:5
- 08/10/26LFajing Sun#287Challenger Wuning 3 · R164:6 5:7
- 06/10/26WEnzo Aguiard#427Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:1 6:3
Elo over the last year
Carl Emil OverbeckKasidit Samrej
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| C. Overbeck | K. Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 21–1264% | 19–1654% |
| Clay | 0–10% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Carl Emil Overbeck
- 04/11/26WChun Hsin Tseng#230Challenger Taipei · R327:6 6:4
Kasidit Samrej
- 01/11/26WKoki Matsuda#457Challenger Taipei · Q16:3 7:6
- 02/11/26LOmar Jasika#329Challenger Taipei · Q26:7 6:7
- 03/11/26WJames McCabe#256Challenger Taipei · R326:3 7:5