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Challenger TaipeiChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

McCabe vs Samrej 0:2: result and our tips

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James McCabeATP #256Elo 1612hard 1586
0:2final3:6 5:7
Kasidit SamrejATP #409Elo 1630hard 1620

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

James McCabe56%
Kasidit Samrej44%

Elo: J. McCabe 45% · K. Samrej 55%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. McCabe36%
2:1 J. McCabe21%
2:1 K. Samrej18%
2:0 K. Samrej26%

First set

James McCabe55%
Kasidit Samrej45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 47%market (no margin): 49%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.574%26%62%
20.566%34%54%
21.558%42%49%
22.553%47%42%
23.546%54%37%
24.541%59%35%
25.539%61%32%

Sample: 5,802 matches

Games handicap

J. McCabe −1.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes44%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 23.0in · 21 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

James McCabeKasidit Samrej
11Aces1
3Double faults7
67%First serves in59%
66%First-serve points won85%
55%Second-serve points won50%
0/0Break points converted2/6
8/10Service games held11/11
62%Service points won71%
29%Return points won38%
61Total points won73

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. McCabeTourK. Samrej
Service points won65%62%63%
Return points won34%38%36%
Service games held82%76%80%
Breaks of serve18%24%21%
Aces per service game0.710.51
Double faults per game0.200.38
Sets with a tie-break27%21%
Tie-breaks won16/349/17
Wins in straight sets70%50%
Matches in the sample5535

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

James McCabe

  • 27/10/26LHiroki Moriya#455Challenger Ningbo · R321:6 6:2 6:7
  • 21/10/26LJay Friend#252Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R166:4 6:7 4:6
  • 19/10/26WElias Ymer#245Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:0 6:7 7:6
  • 12/10/26LHayato Matsuoka#247Challenger Jinan · Q23:6 4:6
  • 11/10/26WSiddhant BanthiaChallenger Jinan · Q16:0 3:1
  • 30/09/26LFederico Cina#136Challenger Jingshan · R322:6 3:6
  • 24/08/26LLukas Neumayer#155ATP US Open · Q11:6 4:6
  • 04/08/26LDusan Lajovic#163Challenger Lexington · R323:6 7:6 3:6
  • 25/07/26LAlex Bolt#174ATP Washington · Q16:7 6:7
  • 21/07/26LDuncan Chan#470Challenger Winnipeg · R326:7 6:4 5:7

Kasidit Samrej

Elo over the last year

James McCabeKasidit Samrej

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. McCabeK. Samrej
Hard court21–2150%18–1751%
Clay0–20%0–0
Grass6–555%0–0

Head to head

J. McCabe 1–0 K. Samrej

  • 29/04/25Winner: J. McCabe6:3 6:7 6:3

Road through the tournament

James McCabe

First match in this tournament.

Kasidit Samrej