Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets
Schwaerzler vs Leong: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Joel Schwaerzler75%
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong26%
Elo: J. Schwaerzler 70% · M. Leong 30%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 J. Schwaerzler52%
2:1 J. Schwaerzler22%
2:1 M. Leong11%
2:0 M. Leong14%
First set
Joel Schwaerzler69%
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong32%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%
Total games
Expected total: 22.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 73% | 27% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 65% | 35% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 56% | 44% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 50% | 50% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 63% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 66% | 35% |
Sample: 4,033 matches
Games handicap
J. Schwaerzler −4.544%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes34%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Schwaerzler | Tour | M. Leong | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 77% |
| Breaks of serve | 19% | 24% | 30% |
| Aces per service game | 0.50 | 0.49 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.27 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 24% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 23/37 | 6/16 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 63% | |
| Matches in the sample | 64 | 54 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Joel Schwaerzler
- 02/11/26LJan Kumstat#194Challenger Taipei · R325:7 6:3 6:7
- 24/10/26LTitouan Droguet#79ATP Vienna · Q13:6 6:3 5:7
- 17/10/26LFederico Cina#136ATP Brussels · Q13:6 6:7
- 08/10/26LJack Pinnington Jones#190Challenger Villena · R161:6 3:6
- 06/10/26WFelix Balshaw#180Challenger Villena · R326:7 6:3 7:5
- 03/10/26LSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#187Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · SF4:6 2:6
- 02/10/26WLucas Poullain#327Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · QF6:4 6:1
- 01/10/26WHarry Wendelken#213Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R166:4 6:3
- 29/09/26WAlberto Barroso Campos#712Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R326:3 7:5
- 22/09/26LMaxime Chazal#425Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R326:2 4:6 6:7
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
- 03/11/26LMasamichi Imamura#437Challenger Taipei · R324:6 4:6
- 02/11/26LYosuke Watanuki#375Challenger Taipei · Q22:6 2:6
- 01/11/26WTin ChenChallenger Taipei · Q16:1 7:6
- 26/10/26LQian Sun#910Challenger Ningbo · Q14:6 5:7
- 19/10/26LLuca Castelnuovo#444Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q23:6 4:6
- 18/10/26WFumin JiangChallenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:7 6:4 3:1
- 08/10/26LJay Friend#252Challenger Wuning 3 · R163:6 3:6
- 06/10/26WSidharth Rawat#644Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:3 4:6 6:1
- 29/09/26LMarat Sharipov#226Challenger Jingshan · Q22:6 3:6
- 28/09/26WThomas Fancutt#691Challenger Jingshan · Q16:4 6:4
Elo over the last year
Joel SchwaerzlerMitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Schwaerzler | M. Leong | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 20–1557% | 32–2160% |
| Clay | 14–1450% | 0–0 |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
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