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Challenger TaipeiChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Imamura vs Leong 2:0: result and our tips

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Masamichi ImamuraATP #437Elo 1502hard 1505
2:0final6:4 6:4
Mitsuki Wei Kang LeongATP #408Elo 1547hard 1552

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 23.5Won59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Imamura 16 of 20, Leong 16 of 20 (tour average 63%); Imamura: 7 matches in a row under 23.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in recent matches: Imamura 17 of 20, Leong 16 of 20 (tour average 66%); Imamura: 7 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Lost35%

Where the number comes from: market alone 32% → with the players' profiles 35%

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Imamura 11 of 20, Leong 11 of 20 (tour average 38%); Imamura: 3 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Masamichi Imamura53%
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong47%

Elo: M. Imamura 43% · M. Leong 57%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Imamura33%
2:1 M. Imamura20%
2:1 M. Leong18%
2:0 M. Leong28%

First set

Masamichi Imamura53%
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong47%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%71%
19.565%35%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.552%48%49%
22.545%55%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%

Sample: 5,445 matches

Games handicap

M. Imamura −1.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes32%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Masamichi ImamuraMitsuki Wei Kang Leong
4Aces5
0Double faults2
72%First serves in58%
71%First-serve points won73%
58%Second-serve points won48%
2/4Break points converted0/2
10/10Service games held8/10
68%Service points won63%
38%Return points won32%
70Total points won62

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. ImamuraTourM. Leong
Service points won61%62%63%
Return points won40%38%41%
Service games held73%76%77%
Breaks of serve28%24%30%
Aces per service game0.220.49
Double faults per game0.160.27
Sets with a tie-break9%13%
Tie-breaks won6/116/16
Wins in straight sets74%63%
Matches in the sample5353

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Masamichi Imamura

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

  • 02/11/26LYosuke Watanuki#375Challenger Taipei · Q22:6 2:6
  • 01/11/26WTin ChenChallenger Taipei · Q16:1 7:6
  • 26/10/26LQian Sun#910Challenger Ningbo · Q14:6 5:7
  • 19/10/26LLuca Castelnuovo#444Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q23:6 4:6
  • 18/10/26WFumin JiangChallenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:7 6:4 3:1
  • 08/10/26LJay Friend#252Challenger Wuning 3 · R163:6 3:6
  • 06/10/26WSidharth Rawat#644Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:3 4:6 6:1
  • 29/09/26LMarat Sharipov#226Challenger Jingshan · Q22:6 3:6
  • 28/09/26WThomas Fancutt#691Challenger Jingshan · Q16:4 6:4
  • 18/09/26LPetr Bar Biryukov#268Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · QF6:7 6:4 6:7

Elo over the last year

Masamichi ImamuraMitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. ImamuraM. Leong
Hard court27–2651%32–2062%
Grass0–10%0–10%

Head to head

M. Imamura 0–1 M. Leong

  • 29/12/24Winner: M. Leong3:6 4:6

Road through the tournament

Masamichi Imamura

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong