Erel vs Imamura 1:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Erel won the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches, Imamura lost the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Other tips
- Match Winner: Erel73%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 73%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Imamura lost 8 of the last 10 matches; Erel won 7 of the last 10 matches
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Imamura: 3 matches in a row under 19.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: Y. Erel 79% · M. Imamura 21%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 72% | 28% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 63% | 37% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 58% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 36% | 64% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 65% | 35% |
Sample: 4,112 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Match stats
| Yanki Erel | Masamichi Imamura | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aces | 10 |
| 5 | Double faults | 4 |
| 67% | First serves in | 59% |
| 56% | First-serve points won | 79% |
| 46% | Second-serve points won | 35% |
| 3/8 | Break points converted | 5/10 |
| 7/12 | Service games held | 9/12 |
| 53% | Service points won | 61% |
| 39% | Return points won | 47% |
| 70 | Total points won | 84 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| Y. Erel | Tour | M. Imamura | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 81% | 76% | 73% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 28% |
| Aces per service game | 0.36 | 0.21 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.15 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 9% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/12 | 6/11 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 77% | |
| Matches in the sample | 27 | 52 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Yanki Erel
- 01/11/26WYan Cheng Chen#952Challenger Taipei · Q16:4 6:4
- 03/10/26LMattia Bellucci#66Challenger Jingshan · SF4:6 4:6
- 02/10/26WFederico Cina#142Challenger Jingshan · QF7:5 7:6
- 01/10/26WMichael Zheng#101Challenger Jingshan · R166:1 7:6
- 29/09/26WArthur Weber#398Challenger Jingshan · R326:4 6:2
- 11/09/26LJay Friend#266Challenger Istanbul 3 · QF6:3 4:6 3:6
- 10/09/26WRadu Albot#561Challenger Istanbul 3 · R166:4 6:2
- 08/09/26WTimofey Skatov#200Challenger Istanbul 3 · R327:6 6:4
- 06/08/26LGijs Brouwer#835Challenger Istanbul 2 · R161:4
- 04/08/26WDenis Yevseyev#471Challenger Istanbul 2 · R326:4 4:6 6:1
Masamichi Imamura
- 01/11/26WLuca Staeheli#430Challenger Taipei · Q16:2 6:3
- 27/10/26LTristan Schoolkate#141Challenger Ningbo · R324:6 3:6
- 18/10/26LSaba Purtseladze#571Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q11:6 2:6
- 06/10/26LKaichi Uchida#420Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:7 2:6
- 30/09/26LPetr Bar Biryukov#331Challenger Jingshan · R325:7 4:6
- 22/09/26LRio Noguchi#214ATP Hangzhou · Q11:6 4:6
- 14/09/26LEnzo Aguiard#438Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R323:6 2:6
- 01/09/26LBernard Tomic#179Challenger Zhangjiagang · R324:6 6:3 4:6
- 14/08/26LSergey Fomin#291Challenger Astana · QF2:6 1:6
- 13/08/26WErik Arutiunian#573Challenger Astana · R166:3 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| Y. Erel | M. Imamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 17–965% | 26–2650% |
| Clay | 0–10% | 0–0 |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Yanki Erel
- 01/11/26WYan Cheng Chen#952Challenger Taipei · Q16:4 6:4
Masamichi Imamura
- 01/11/26WLuca Staeheli#430Challenger Taipei · Q16:2 6:3