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Challenger NingboChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Schoolkate vs Imamura 2:0: result and our tips

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Tristan SchoolkateATP #141Elo 1775hard 1762
2:0final6:4 6:3
Masamichi ImamuraATP #433Elo 1480hard 1484

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won63%

Where the number comes from: market alone 61% → with the players' profiles 63%

Schoolkate: 9 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Other tips

  • Set Betting: Schoolkate 2-0Won67%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Schoolkate won 2-0 in 7 of the last 20 matches, Imamura lost 0-2 in 10 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 21.5Lost39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Schoolkate: 7 matches in a row over 21.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tristan Schoolkate87%
Masamichi Imamura13%

Elo: T. Schoolkate 83% · M. Imamura 17%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Schoolkate67%
2:1 T. Schoolkate19%
2:1 M. Imamura6%
2:0 M. Imamura7%

First set

Tristan Schoolkate79%
Masamichi Imamura21%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes25%
no75%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.0 · 46%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.583%17%88%
17.573%27%80%
18.563%37%71%
19.554%46%62%
20.546%54%54%
21.539%61%49%
22.533%67%42%

Sample: 1,893 matches

Games handicap

T. Schoolkate −5.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 20.0in · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Tristan SchoolkateMasamichi Imamura
4Aces1
1Double faults1
67%First serves in73%
82%First-serve points won61%
63%Second-serve points won60%
2/5Break points converted0/1
10/10Service games held7/9
75%Service points won61%
39%Return points won25%
65Total points won48

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. SchoolkateTourM. Imamura
Service points won66%62%60%
Return points won35%38%40%
Service games held83%76%72%
Breaks of serve19%24%28%
Aces per service game0.700.21
Double faults per game0.250.16
Sets with a tie-break20%9%
Tie-breaks won17/346/11
Wins in straight sets57%76%
Matches in the sample6951

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tristan Schoolkate

Masamichi Imamura

Elo over the last year

Tristan SchoolkateMasamichi Imamura

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. SchoolkateM. Imamura
Hard court27–2453%25–2649%
Clay6–460%0–0
Grass4–450%0–10%

Head to head

T. Schoolkate 0–1 M. Imamura

  • 25/10/24Winner: M. Imamura4:6 6:3 5:7

See also