Challenger Guangzhou NanshaChallenger 75Semifinalhardbest of three sets

Schoolkate vs Cui 2:1: result and our tips

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Tristan SchoolkateATP #169Elo 1746hard 1731
2:1final6:7(4) 6:4 7:6(2)
Jie CuiATP #448Elo 1661hard 1651

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 21.5Won57%

Where the number comes from: market alone 53% → with the players' profiles 57%

Schoolkate: 5 matches in a row over 21.5 games; Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Schoolkate 15 of 20, Cui 10 of 20 (tour average 49%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tristan Schoolkate66%
Jie Cui34%

Elo: T. Schoolkate 61% · J. Cui 39%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Schoolkate44%
2:1 T. Schoolkate22%
2:1 J. Cui15%
2:0 J. Cui20%

First set

Tristan Schoolkate62%
Jie Cui38%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.572%28%62%
20.564%36%54%
21.557%43%49%
22.551%49%42%
23.545%55%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,369 matches

Games handicap

Tristan Schoolkate −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes44%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 22.5in · 36 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Tristan SchoolkateJie Cui
21Aces10
1Double faults3
63%First serves in53%
92%First-serve points won84%
62%Second-serve points won61%
1/4Break points converted0/1
17/17Service games held16/17
81%Service points won73%
27%Return points won19%
108Total points won95

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. SchoolkateTourJ. Cui
Service points won66%62%63%
Return points won35%38%36%
Service games held83%76%78%
Breaks of serve19%24%23%
Aces per service game0.690.40
Double faults per game0.250.18
Sets with a tie-break19%25%
Tie-breaks won15/318/18
Wins in straight sets60%87%
Matches in the sample6732

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tristan Schoolkate

Jie Cui

Elo over the last year

Tristan SchoolkateJie Cui

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. SchoolkateJ. Cui
Hard court25–2451%15–1648%
Clay6–460%0–10%
Grass4–450%0–0

Head to head

T. Schoolkate 0–2 J. Cui

  • 08/05/25Winner: Jie Cui4:6 2:6
  • 09/05/24Winner: Jie Cui5:7 6:7

Road through the tournament

Tristan Schoolkate

Jie Cui

See also