Challenger Guangzhou NanshaChallenger 75Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Santillan vs Cui 0:2: result and our tips

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Akira SantillanATP #309Elo 1584hard 1584
0:2final4:6 3:6
Jie CuiATP #448Elo 1645hard 1634

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Akira Santillan34%
Jie Cui66%

Elo: A. Santillan 43% · J. Cui 57%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Santillan20%
2:1 A. Santillan15%
2:1 J. Cui22%
2:0 J. Cui43%

First set

Akira Santillan39%
Jie Cui61%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 49%market (no margin): 48%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%62%
20.561%39%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.549%51%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,418 matches

Games handicap

Jie Cui −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes39%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Akira SantillanJie Cui
8Aces4
5Double faults2
59%First serves in72%
71%First-serve points won66%
41%Second-serve points won63%
1/4Break points converted4/7
6/10Service games held8/9
59%Service points won65%
35%Return points won42%
51Total points won59

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. SantillanTourJ. Cui
Service points won63%62%63%
Return points won38%38%36%
Service games held76%76%78%
Breaks of serve24%24%23%
Aces per service game0.470.40
Double faults per game0.320.18
Sets with a tie-break10%26%
Tie-breaks won6/118/18
Wins in straight sets54%86%
Matches in the sample4831

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Akira Santillan

Jie Cui

Elo over the last year

Akira SantillanJie Cui

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. SantillanJ. Cui
Hard court21–1854%14–1647%
Clay3–633%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Akira Santillan

Jie Cui