Demin vs Santillan 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Demin: 9 matches in a row under 25.5 games; Under 25.5 games in recent matches: Demin 9 of 10, Santillan 15 of 20 (tour average 68%)
Other tips
- Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost62%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Demin: 9 matches in a row without a deciding set
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: Y. Demin 31% · A. Santillan 69%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 69% | 31% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 61% | 40% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 48% | 52% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 37% | 63% | 32% |
Sample: 5,183 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 22.5out · 29 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Yaroslav Demin | Akira Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aces | 12 |
| 2 | Double faults | 4 |
| 72% | First serves in | 69% |
| 71% | First-serve points won | 78% |
| 52% | Second-serve points won | 43% |
| 2/7 | Break points converted | 3/5 |
| 11/14 | Service games held | 13/15 |
| 66% | Service points won | 67% |
| 33% | Return points won | 34% |
| 80 | Total points won | 87 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| Y. Demin | Tour | A. Santillan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | 0.42 | 0.45 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.40 | 0.32 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 10% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 3/4 | 6/11 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 55% | |
| Matches in the sample | 10 | 46 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Yaroslav Demin
- 19/10/26WKasidit Samrej#382Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q26:4 6:2
- 18/10/26WAlexander Binda#465Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:3 7:6
- 07/10/26LAkira Santillan#309Challenger Wuning 3 · R163:6 3:6
- 05/10/26WBeibit Zhukayev#526Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:4 6:4
- 13/09/26LHanyi Liu#822Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q13:6 3:6
- 02/08/26LSidharth Rawat#671Challenger Istanbul 2 · Q14:6 2:6
- 19/07/26LConstantin Bittoun Kouzmine#490Challenger Segovia · Q15:7 3:6
- 02/04/26LJonas Forejtek#299Challenger Menorca · R321:6 6:7
- 01/04/26WChristoph Negritu#725Challenger Menorca · Q27:6 7:5
- 30/03/26WMichael Vrbensky#668Challenger Menorca · Q15:7 7:6 7:5
Akira Santillan
- 09/10/26LKeisuke Saitoh#478Challenger Wuning 3 · QF7:6 1:6 4:6
- 07/10/26WYaroslav Demin#614Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:3 6:3
- 05/10/26WLuca Castelnuovo#449Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:3 3:6 7:6
- 29/09/26LLuka Pavlovic#207Challenger Jingshan · R322:6 4:6
- 23/09/26LAlex Bolt#174ATP Hangzhou · Q21:6 6:2 4:6
- 22/09/26WKaigaoge KangATP Hangzhou · Q16:3 6:0
- 16/09/26LPavel Kotov#172Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R164:6 6:7
- 14/09/26WYaojie Zeng#967Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R327:5 6:3
- 08/09/26LBernard Tomic#180Challenger Shanghai · R324:6 4:6
- 03/09/26LIlya Ivashka#221Challenger Zhangjiagang · R164:6 6:4 1:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| Y. Demin | A. Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 3–443% | 19–1851% |
| Clay | 2–167% | 3–633% |
Head to head
Y. Demin 0–1 A. Santillan
- 07/10/26Winner: Akira Santillan3:6 3:6
Road through the tournament
Yaroslav Demin
- 18/10/26WAlexander Binda#465Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:3 7:6
- 19/10/26WKasidit Samrej#382Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q26:4 6:2
Akira Santillan
First match in this tournament.