Challenger Guangzhou NanshaChallenger 75Round of 16hardbest of three sets
Broady vs Santillan: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1h 28mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Liam Broady67%
Akira Santillan33%
Elo: L. Broady 60% · A. Santillan 40%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 L. Broady44%
2:1 L. Broady22%
2:1 A. Santillan15%
2:0 A. Santillan19%
First set
Liam Broady62%
Akira Santillan38%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 51%
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 75% | 26% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 66% | 34% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 58% | 42% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 47% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
Sample: 5,287 matches
Games handicap
Liam Broady −3.548%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes35%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Broady | Tour | A. Santillan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 78% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 28% | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | 0.29 | 0.46 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.32 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 14% | 10% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/17 | 6/11 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 52% | |
| Matches in the sample | 52 | 47 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Liam Broady
- 20/10/26WDominik Palan#620Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:7 6:4 6:2
- 12/10/26LSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#181Challenger Roanne · R324:6 4:6
- 30/09/26LDominic Stricker#251Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R324:6 6:3 1:6
- 24/08/26LMarco Cecchinato#164ATP US Open · Q16:7 3:6
- 12/08/26LDhakshineswar Suresh#421Challenger Brownsburg · R323:6 5:7
- 04/08/26LOzan Baris#402Challenger Lexington · R324:6 5:7
- 29/07/26LJay Friend#272Challenger Vancouver · R325:7 7:5 4:6
- 21/07/26LYuta Shimizu#376Challenger Winnipeg · R322:6 5:7
- 14/07/26LAleksandar Vukic#116Challenger Granby · R324:6 7:5 6:7
- 10/07/26LAlex Michelsen#37Challenger Newport · QF3:6 6:7
Akira Santillan
- 20/10/26WYaroslav Demin#614Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R324:6 6:4 6:3
- 09/10/26LKeisuke Saitoh#478Challenger Wuning 3 · QF7:6 1:6 4:6
- 07/10/26WYaroslav Demin#614Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:3 6:3
- 05/10/26WLuca Castelnuovo#449Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:3 3:6 7:6
- 29/09/26LLuka Pavlovic#207Challenger Jingshan · R322:6 4:6
- 23/09/26LAlex Bolt#174ATP Hangzhou · Q21:6 6:2 4:6
- 22/09/26WKaigaoge KangATP Hangzhou · Q16:3 6:0
- 16/09/26LPavel Kotov#172Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R164:6 6:7
- 14/09/26WYaojie Zeng#967Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R327:5 6:3
- 08/09/26LBernard Tomic#180Challenger Shanghai · R324:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Liam BroadyAkira Santillan
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Broady | A. Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 23–1561% | 20–1853% |
| Clay | 5–550% | 3–633% |
| Grass | 2–340% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Liam Broady
- 20/10/26WDominik Palan#620Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:7 6:4 6:2
Akira Santillan
- 20/10/26WYaroslav Demin#614Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R324:6 6:4 6:3