Challenger Guangzhou NanshaChallenger 75Finalhardbest of three sets

Wong vs Schoolkate 1:2: result and our tips

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Coleman WongATP #92Elo 1907hard 1882
1:2final6:4 6:7(3) 4:6
Tristan SchoolkateATP #169Elo 1756hard 1742

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 21.5Won58%

Where the number comes from: market alone 54% → with the players' profiles 58%

Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Wong 12 of 20, Schoolkate 15 of 20 (tour average 49%); Schoolkate: 6 matches in a row over 21.5 games

Other tips

  • Match Winner: WongLost65%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 65%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Wong won 8 of the last 10 matches; Wong won 3 of 3 head-to-head matches

  • 1st Set Winner: WongWon61%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Wong won the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches, Schoolkate lost the first set in 9 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Won38%

Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 38%

Over 25.5 games in recent matches: Wong 8 of 20, Schoolkate 10 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Coleman Wong65%
Tristan Schoolkate35%

Elo: C. Wong 69% · T. Schoolkate 31%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Wong43%
2:1 C. Wong22%
2:1 T. Schoolkate15%
2:0 T. Schoolkate20%

First set

Coleman Wong61%
Tristan Schoolkate39%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.5 · 54%market (no margin): 51%

The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.574%26%62%
20.566%34%54%
21.558%42%49%
22.553%47%42%
23.546%54%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.538%62%32%

Sample: 5,497 matches

Games handicap

Coleman Wong −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes47%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 23.5out · 33 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Coleman WongTristan Schoolkate
25Aces14
3Double faults6
53%First serves in57%
78%First-serve points won72%
51%Second-serve points won50%
4/11Break points converted4/5
12/16Service games held12/16
65%Service points won63%
37%Return points won35%
100Total points won99

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. WongTourT. Schoolkate
Service points won66%62%66%
Return points won36%38%35%
Service games held83%76%83%
Breaks of serve19%24%19%
Aces per service game0.870.70
Double faults per game0.200.25
Sets with a tie-break18%20%
Tie-breaks won27/3516/33
Wins in straight sets69%58%
Matches in the sample8368

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Coleman Wong

Tristan Schoolkate

Elo over the last year

Coleman WongTristan Schoolkate

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. WongT. Schoolkate
Hard court43–2464%26–2452%
Clay7–464%6–460%
Grass1–420%4–450%

Head to head

C. Wong 3–0 T. Schoolkate

  • 15/02/26Winner: Coleman Wong6:4 6:4
  • 01/03/24Winner: Coleman Wong7:6 6:3
  • 27/10/23Winner: Coleman Wong6:7 7:6 7:6

Road through the tournament

Coleman Wong

Tristan Schoolkate

See also