Challenger Guangzhou NanshaChallenger 75Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Wong vs Samrej 2:1: result and our tips

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Coleman WongATP #92Elo 1881hard 1854
2:1final4:6 6:3 6:4
Kasidit SamrejATP #382Elo 1655hard 1646

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Coleman Wong92%
Kasidit Samrej8%

Elo: C. Wong 77% · K. Samrej 23%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Wong74%
2:1 C. Wong17%
2:1 K. Samrej4%
2:0 K. Samrej5%

First set

Coleman Wong83%
Kasidit Samrej17%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes21%
no79%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 61%market (no margin): 49%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.578%22%88%
17.567%33%80%
18.557%43%71%
19.548%53%63%
20.539%61%54%
21.533%67%49%
22.528%72%42%

Sample: 1,402 matches

Games handicap

Coleman Wong −5.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 20.5out · 29 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Coleman WongKasidit Samrej
26Aces4
2Double faults4
60%First serves in60%
87%First-serve points won76%
47%Second-serve points won57%
2/2Break points converted1/4
14/15Service games held12/14
71%Service points won68%
32%Return points won29%
88Total points won77

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. WongTourK. Samrej
Service points won65%62%63%
Return points won36%38%38%
Service games held83%76%79%
Breaks of serve19%24%24%
Aces per service game0.840.51
Double faults per game0.200.37
Sets with a tie-break17%17%
Tie-breaks won25/338/14
Wins in straight sets69%52%
Matches in the sample8036

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Coleman Wong

Kasidit Samrej

Elo over the last year

Coleman WongKasidit Samrej

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. WongK. Samrej
Hard court40–2463%21–1558%
Clay7–464%0–0
Grass1–420%0–0

Head to head

C. Wong 0–1 K. Samrej

  • 31/10/24Winner: Kasidit Samrej7:6 5:7 4:6

Road through the tournament

Coleman Wong

Kasidit Samrej