Challenger Guangzhou NanshaChallenger 75Semifinalhardbest of three sets

Wong vs Zhou 2:0: result and our tips

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Coleman WongATP #92Elo 1899hard 1873
2:0final7:6(3) 6:3
Yi ZhouATP #280Elo 1741hard 1722

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: WongWon66%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 66%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Wong won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Tie-break in Match: YesWon43%

Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 43%

A tie-break in recent matches: Wong 9 of 20, Zhou 9 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Coleman Wong66%
Yi Zhou34%

Elo: C. Wong 71% · Y. Zhou 30%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Wong43%
2:1 C. Wong22%
2:1 Y. Zhou15%
2:0 Y. Zhou20%

First set

Coleman Wong61%
Yi Zhou39%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.5 · 56%market (no margin): 52%

The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.572%29%62%
20.563%37%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.551%49%42%
23.544%56%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,417 matches

Games handicap

Coleman Wong −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes43%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 23.5in · 22 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Coleman WongYi Zhou
18Aces7
2Double faults2
61%First serves in60%
83%First-serve points won90%
73%Second-serve points won32%
1/2Break points converted0/0
11/11Service games held9/10
79%Service points won67%
33%Return points won21%
73Total points won56

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. WongTourY. Zhou
Service points won65%62%64%
Return points won36%38%37%
Service games held83%76%81%
Breaks of serve19%24%22%
Aces per service game0.860.58
Double faults per game0.200.23
Sets with a tie-break17%21%
Tie-breaks won26/3415/26
Wins in straight sets68%76%
Matches in the sample8253

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Coleman Wong

Yi Zhou

Elo over the last year

Coleman WongYi Zhou

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. WongY. Zhou
Hard court42–2464%21–1854%
Clay7–464%0–20%
Grass1–420%8–467%

Head to head

C. Wong 1–0 Y. Zhou

  • 01/11/25Winner: Coleman Wong7:6 4:6 6:2

Road through the tournament

Coleman Wong

Yi Zhou

See also