Challenger Guangzhou NanshaChallenger 75Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Zhou vs Ilagan: prediction and tips

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Yi ZhouATP #280Elo 1721hard 1701
-:-
Andre IlaganATP #203Elo 1738hard 1724

Our tips

Tip in 1d 0h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Yi Zhou59%
Andre Ilagan42%

Elo: Y. Zhou 47% · A. Ilagan 53%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Zhou38%
2:1 Y. Zhou21%
2:1 A. Ilagan17%
2:0 A. Ilagan25%

First set

Yi Zhou56%
Andre Ilagan44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%30%62%
20.562%38%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.549%51%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,886 matches

Games handicap

Yi Zhou −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes38%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. ZhouTourA. Ilagan
Service points won64%62%63%
Return points won37%38%38%
Service games held80%76%79%
Breaks of serve22%24%24%
Aces per service game0.570.39
Double faults per game0.230.19
Sets with a tie-break21%23%
Tie-breaks won14/2516/38
Wins in straight sets75%54%
Matches in the sample5269

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yi Zhou

Andre Ilagan

Elo over the last year

Yi ZhouAndre Ilagan

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. ZhouA. Ilagan
Hard court20–1853%33–2854%
Clay0–20%3–175%
Grass8–467%3–175%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Yi Zhou

Andre Ilagan