Challenger Guangzhou NanshaChallenger 75Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Sultanov vs Ilagan 0:2: result and our tips

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Khumoyun SultanovATP #431Elo 1630hard 1630
0:2final5:7 2:6
Andre IlaganATP #203Elo 1725hard 1710

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Khumoyun Sultanov36%
Andre Ilagan65%

Elo: K. Sultanov 39% · A. Ilagan 61%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Sultanov21%
2:1 K. Sultanov15%
2:1 A. Ilagan22%
2:0 A. Ilagan42%

First set

Khumoyun Sultanov40%
Andre Ilagan60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%30%62%
20.562%38%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.550%51%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.540%61%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,541 matches

Games handicap

Andre Ilagan −3.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes40%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Khumoyun SultanovAndre Ilagan
10Aces11
1Double faults1
72%First serves in63%
60%First-serve points won77%
44%Second-serve points won62%
1/4Break points converted4/5
6/10Service games held9/10
55%Service points won71%
29%Return points won45%
52Total points won69

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. SultanovTourA. Ilagan
Service points won67%62%63%
Return points won38%38%38%
Service games held84%76%79%
Breaks of serve24%24%24%
Aces per service game0.620.38
Double faults per game0.210.20
Sets with a tie-break21%24%
Tie-breaks won6/916/38
Wins in straight sets86%53%
Matches in the sample2068

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Khumoyun Sultanov

Andre Ilagan

Elo over the last year

Khumoyun SultanovAndre Ilagan

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. SultanovA. Ilagan
Hard court12–571%32–2853%
Clay2–167%3–175%
Grass0–03–175%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Khumoyun Sultanov

Andre Ilagan