Sultanov vs Castelnuovo 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Under 24.5 games in recent matches: Sultanov 16 of 20, Castelnuovo 14 of 20 (tour average 65%)
Other tips
- Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
No third set in recent matches: Sultanov 16 of 20, Castelnuovo 14 of 20 (tour average 66%)
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Sultanov won 2-0 in 12 of the last 20 matches, Castelnuovo lost 0-2 in 7 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: K. Sultanov 59% · L. Castelnuovo 42%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
Expected total: 24.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 73% | 27% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 65% | 35% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 58% | 42% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 52% | 48% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 45% | 55% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 41% | 59% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 39% | 61% | 32% |
Sample: 5,444 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Over 22.5in · 26 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Khumoyun Sultanov | Luca Castelnuovo | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Aces | 26 |
| 2 | Double faults | 7 |
| 64% | First serves in | 61% |
| 83% | First-serve points won | 79% |
| 82% | Second-serve points won | 46% |
| 0/15 | Break points converted | 0/1 |
| 12/12 | Service games held | 12/12 |
| 82% | Service points won | 66% |
| 34% | Return points won | 18% |
| 100 | Total points won | 88 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| K. Sultanov | Tour | L. Castelnuovo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 81% |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | 18% |
| Aces per service game | 0.60 | 0.69 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.21 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/7 | 6/11 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 21 | 32 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Khumoyun Sultanov
- 19/10/26WSaba Purtseladze#575Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q26:4 7:6
- 18/10/26WXiaoyin YangChallenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:1 6:4
- 15/09/26LHunter Heck#595Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R323:6 2:6
- 08/09/26LEnzo Aguiard#435Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:2 3:6 6:7
- 03/09/26LEnzo Aguiard#435Challenger Zhangjiagang · R166:7 4:6
- 01/09/26WSergey Fomin#294Challenger Zhangjiagang · R327:5 6:0
- 31/08/26WJoshua Charlton#827Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q23:6 6:3 6:4
- 30/08/26WFumin JiangChallenger Zhangjiagang · Q16:4 6:3
- 15/08/26LHayato Matsuoka#242Challenger Astana · SF6:3 3:6 4:6
- 14/08/26WMert Alkaya#311Challenger Astana · QF7:6 6:3
Luca Castelnuovo
- 19/10/26WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#405Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q26:3 6:4
- 18/10/26WEgor Pleshivtsev#853Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q17:6 6:4
- 05/10/26LAkira Santillan#309Challenger Wuning 3 · R323:6 6:3 6:7
- 22/09/26LPavel Kotov#172ATP Chengdu · Q17:6 5:7 5:7
- 16/09/26LElias Ymer#228Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R166:7 4:6
- 15/09/26WOmar Jasika#388Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:7 6:2 1:0
- 12/09/26LIlya Ivashka#221Challenger Shanghai · SF3:6 4:6
- 11/09/26WJi Sung Nam#819Challenger Shanghai · QF6:4 6:4
- 10/09/26WTung-Lin Wu#353Challenger Shanghai · R167:5 6:4
- 08/09/26WChun Hsin Tseng#217Challenger Shanghai · R323:6 7:6 6:2
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| K. Sultanov | L. Castelnuovo | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 12–667% | 12–1348% |
| Clay | 2–167% | 1–325% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 1–233% |
Head to head
K. Sultanov 0–1 L. Castelnuovo
- 22/09/25Winner: Luca Castelnuovo4:6 2:6
Road through the tournament
Khumoyun Sultanov
- 18/10/26WXiaoyin YangChallenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:1 6:4
- 19/10/26WSaba Purtseladze#575Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q26:4 7:6
Luca Castelnuovo
- 18/10/26WEgor Pleshivtsev#853Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q17:6 6:4
- 19/10/26WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#405Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q26:3 6:4