Leong vs Castelnuovo 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 60% → with the players' profiles 62%
Castelnuovo: 4 matches in a row over 20.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Leong 63% · L. Castelnuovo 37%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 70% | 30% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 62% | 38% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 56% | 44% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 49% | 51% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 41% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 37% | 63% | 32% |
Sample: 5,469 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Over 21.5out · 19 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | Luca Castelnuovo | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aces | 8 |
| 4 | Double faults | 1 |
| 58% | First serves in | 57% |
| 83% | First-serve points won | 88% |
| 36% | Second-serve points won | 79% |
| 0/1 | Break points converted | 3/4 |
| 7/10 | Service games held | 9/9 |
| 64% | Service points won | 84% |
| 16% | Return points won | 37% |
| 40 | Total points won | 56 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Leong | Tour | L. Castelnuovo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 77% | 76% | 81% |
| Breaks of serve | 31% | 24% | 18% |
| Aces per service game | 0.46 | 0.68 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.26 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/15 | 6/11 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 62% | |
| Matches in the sample | 51 | 31 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
- 18/10/26WFumin JiangChallenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:7 6:4 3:1
- 08/10/26LJay Friend#272Challenger Wuning 3 · R163:6 3:6
- 06/10/26WSidharth Rawat#671Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:3 4:6 6:1
- 29/09/26LMarat Sharipov#225Challenger Jingshan · Q22:6 3:6
- 28/09/26WThomas Fancutt#685Challenger Jingshan · Q16:4 6:4
- 18/09/26LPetr Bar Biryukov#327Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · QF6:7 6:4 6:7
- 17/09/26WJames Kent Trotter#551Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R166:2 6:3
- 16/09/26WSergey Fomin#294Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:3 6:1
- 14/09/26WHanyi Liu#822Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q22:6 6:1 4:0
- 13/09/26WYe HongyuChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q16:0 6:1
Luca Castelnuovo
- 18/10/26WEgor Pleshivtsev#853Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q17:6 6:4
- 05/10/26LAkira Santillan#309Challenger Wuning 3 · R323:6 6:3 6:7
- 22/09/26LPavel Kotov#172ATP Chengdu · Q17:6 5:7 5:7
- 16/09/26LElias Ymer#228Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R166:7 4:6
- 15/09/26WOmar Jasika#388Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:7 6:2 1:0
- 12/09/26LIlya Ivashka#221Challenger Shanghai · SF3:6 4:6
- 11/09/26WJi Sung Nam#819Challenger Shanghai · QF6:4 6:4
- 10/09/26WTung-Lin Wu#353Challenger Shanghai · R167:5 6:4
- 08/09/26WChun Hsin Tseng#217Challenger Shanghai · R323:6 7:6 6:2
- 07/09/26WTsung-Hao Huang#803Challenger Shanghai · Q26:4 6:2
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Leong | L. Castelnuovo | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 31–1863% | 11–1346% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 1–325% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 1–233% |
Head to head
M. Leong 0–2 L. Castelnuovo
- 07/07/26Winner: Luca Castelnuovo6:7 3:6
- 10/02/26Winner: Luca Castelnuovo4:6 0:6
Road through the tournament
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
- 18/10/26WFumin JiangChallenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:7 6:4 3:1
Luca Castelnuovo
- 18/10/26WEgor Pleshivtsev#853Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q17:6 6:4